OT: Ad Astra? Do we have to worry about storms and you?

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Jan 30, 2002
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Tropical storm Arlene, or Audrey, or Alice, or something in on the news...my first thoughts these days go to you, hunkered down under a tin sheet, shaking your fist at the gods.

You at risk? Or is this just like Winter in Wisconsin? It happens.

your choice, always.
 
"The latest data from the Hurricane Hunters indicates that Arlene has strengthen some. Winds are now up to 55 mph with the pressure down slightly to around 1000 millibars. A tropical storm watch is now in effect from Morgan City, LA to Indian Pass, FL. Needless to say, the weather will be going downhill later today and into the weekend. From the looks of things, the center of Arlene could come inland in Mississippi- however, this will put areas like Mobile, AL and Pensacola, FL on the eastern side where most of the rough weather is. Be prepared now to take action in order to mitigate further damage for those of you that are still dealing with Ivan's wrath. "

Thanks, Kis.

First storm of the year- just for us. And we'll be in the "dirty side" again. Lots of unrepaired damaged homes... lots of blue FEMA tarp roofs still... lots of dead trees just needing a little push.

Worry? Me, No. I have a brand-new roof, after all. Storm surge is 2-3 ft., coming at high tide. Bad. Will be over my seawall. But the pier is already gone. So's the whole back deck. House is on pilings... this one will probably be a Cat. 1- watch the water, windy day. Cat. 2- not funny. Cat. 3- lose half of house. Cat. 4 & 5- lose everything you own.

Houses guest brought a camper... probably will help them tie it down. Rising water is the biggest danger, not piddling 60 mph winds. May park cars at top of hill.

Thanks for asking. It is ironic. I should go stand on the seawall, shake my fist at the rising water & winds, and shout "Thank you Sir may I have another!"


Ad Astra :mad: :grumpy: :( ad ciclonius perpetuem

11AM update- little uglier- 4 ft. storm surge over high tide. Ivan was 10 ft....
 
On the list . . .

Might send smoke, too. There's this stack of old shipping pallets and skids . . .

Seriously, best wishes!

Noah
 
When I'm sailing and the wind isn't strong enough, I always shout "IS THIS ALL YOU ARE CAPABLE OFF!" as loud as I can. Ususally it seems to work. Maybe you should try the reverse :confused:

Keno
 
I was just talking to my fiance about Arlene this morning and how i hoped it didn't blow Mike away again. Hang tough, friend. The sea sure is beautiful when she's not angry.

Jake
 
Ad Astra said:
Thanks for asking. It is ironic. I should go stand on the seawall, shake my fist at the rising water & winds, and shout "Thank you Sir may I have another!"
For extra brass b@ll brownie points, you may consider wrapping your fists in tinfoil and cursing Zeus. You can save the weight belt/cursing Poseiden for the next flood watch.

Seriously though, stay safe, there's not much room left on my sofa (we do have an airbed though, if it comes to it)
 
Thanks, everybody. I appreciate it. We'll be fine- got little left that can be lost. :)

But save the smoke for those who really need it. I've only asked once, and you really came through.

Click here for the ride of your life:
http://www.2004hurricanes.com/misc-ivan-photos.html

That's Interstate I-10 in the top right photo- a man died in that 18 wheeler.

Storm surge was calculated to be 42 feet, in order to break that bridge.
My home is 9 miles south of that point.


Ad Astra
 
got little left that can be lost....


Wrong.

You are taking back the essential...your life. All that other stuff...is just stuff.
And we will be damned if some silly storm is going to imperil our asset down there.

wacherass
 
I knew there was a reason I live in Ohio...

Smoke for everyone in the path.

.
 
Appreciated, Kis....

Tell you what, I'd like to request some of everybody's favorite
defiance-of-nature's-wrath rituals.

thanks for the idea, Keno & Yahmanin.

So, what do I do as the storm comes in? I tried firing my Mini-14 at Ivan... no good. Also, I brandished with great animosity my 21" Chainpuri: same nil result. What will work? Can't involve alcohol... got plenty of Diet Mountain Dew, cigarettes, khukuris, some explosives, er, fireworks, and.. if I can find it.. a voodoo doll.


Ad Astra :confused:


Arlene Could Put Trailers At-Risk

As Arlene approaches...people living in FEMA travel trailers are hoping for the best...but fearing the worst.
As Greg Neumann shows us...Pensacola Beach residents are particularly at risk...and they're just hoping they don't lose yet another place to live.

While conditions were perfect on Pensacola Beach today...residents like Karen Turner know Arlene will soon be here...and that her family's FEMA trailers won't be safe from the storm.

Karen Turner/Lives In Trailer: "We're planning on vacating and going to a neighbors house and just take whatever, like valuables, like computers and stuff...in case it turns over."

Just about everyone living in these trailers is scared to think about what they'll come back to on Sunday.
Loretta Browder thinks FEMA should be responsible for tying them down.

Loretta Browder/Wants FEMA's Help: "I'm not in a position to strap it down myself, so i do have a call into them and they're supposed to call me back."

FEMA officials say crews have started to tie down some of the trailers on the beach...but that there's no way they'll get them all secured by Saturday.
That would leave most people to take care of it themselves.

Turner: "I don't know...my husband probably would have an idea, but we don't have any materials or anything you know, today."

But Leisure Tyme RV, which sold a number of trailers just like these...says there's a reason they're called travel trailers...and that tying them down may not do anything.

Boogie Duplantis/Leisure Tyme RV: "You know, to try and tie them down in the sand and the windstorm buffeting them...sooner or later those tiedowns are gonna loosen up."

Boogie Duplantis says the speeds predicted with Arlene will definitely be strong enough to flip the trailers.
And even though FEMA doesn't want them moved...Duplantis says that's still the best option if people want to make sure the units will be there when they get back.

Duplantis: "They're designed to be moved, uh, and I know a lot of people probably have an suv that may not be able to tow it. Find a friend that has a truck that can hook it up to.
 
Bruise has this special deal for cantinistas on indulgences. Think it's $20.01, plus shipping. (Do indulgences get shipped? Is DHL involved?)
 
have you tried a generator and an industrial fan in the front yard? Beat it at its own game!

Kismet, where'd the sig line come from, not a Cerberus quote, is it?
 
Mike,

Take care, those are some horrible pictures. I hope you don't have to go through another one like that for a long time. :(
 
AA, you're the first 'thing' I thought of when I heard about Arlene. Keep your ears stiff. (old German saying)
 
Aardvark said:
. . . Keep your ears stiff. (old German saying)

Don't know about Mike; I've never had a problem keeping my ears stiff.

Other body parts, though . . .

Heck, I sent for all those enhancement pills offered in my inbox, and I also take those weight loss pills they sell, too.

Given the results, I think the one is canceling out the other . . .

Noah,

in Rodney D / Stephen Wright mode this morning. It's been one of those weeks.
 
Any more news about Arlene? I am supposed to start vacation tomorrow in Gulf Shores, Alabama. It seems to be right in the path of it.

I still plan on going. I've never been in a tropical storm before though.
 
Dennis, check this link: it's updated every half hour.

http://pensacolanewsjournal.com/

I can't tell you what to do, but I can tell you this:

Gulf Shores is about ground zero. Latest is that Arlene will be minimal hurricane cat 1. (75 mph) winds... but a 4-6 foor storm surge. If you were going to Gulf Shores for a beach vacation, you might reconsider. Roads will be under water & the beach closed.

Escambia Co. FL has already declared a state of emergency.

Beach areas will soon be evacuated, even for a cat. 1. Keep checking the news. You should get your hotel money refunded.

Again, keep checking news- this thing is developing faster than they thought.
_______________________

"Meteorologist says Arlene will be hurricane

Remember Derek Ortt?

He's the meteorologist from South Miami who was dead on in his predictions of Ivan. He says Arlene will intensify to hurricane strength and possibly hit around Mobile.

Ortt says: "Satellite imagery indicates that the outflow is becoming much better defined ... and the convection is circular. The dry air is starting to modify and shear is reducing. Arlene will be passing over a warm water eddy. All of the above indicates further intensification before landfall. It is quite possible that Arlene will make landfall as a category 1 hurricane and future forecasts may be revised to reflect this."

"The eastern center that was used for the forecast last night did not become dominant; thus, that forecast is too far to the right. In addition, the forecast was too slow. I have shifted to the left significantly. I did not want to make too dramatic of a change from the previous forecast."

If it becomes apparent that this forecast of a landfall near Mobile is still too far right, he will revise his forecast. We will keep you posted.

Ortt's predictions and analysis were on target for all four Florida hurricanes last year. While most weather sources were predicting Hurricane Ivan would hit west of Mobile, Ortt e-mailed the News Journal and said the storm was hooking toward Pensacola. "
__________________

There's nothing cool or romantic about having your car under water. Watch the storm on TV. My .02.


Ad Astra

here's the newspaper's blog:

http://www.pensacolanewsjournal.com/news/life/writers/stormteam/index.shtml
 
Fingers crossed , hope it blows on by. Central NC gets tagged once or twice a decade, enough to be aware of the danger, but infrequently enough that we don't don't regularly check out mid atlantic radar imaging. I've done some serious khuk/chainsaw time cutting out of post storm detritus, but we mostly dodge getting our homes flattened. Feel for you all on the gulf and south eastern coastline.

Kismet said:
Yahmanin?
Yes?

I should have known your sig was the local double A, I was reading a different thread that referenced comics just prior to reading this one and and my brain vapor locked.

btw, great link to the Time piece on disaster psychology, good stuff.
 
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