I don't think they ever really went away, but that they have been living in the shadows for a while.
There's a knife shop in Frederick Maryland, and it's about the only knife shop around, aside from the sporting goods section of Walmart or Dick's. In this knife shop, they have cases of the modern tactical knives. Cases of black handle thick blades things from Spyderco, Benchmade, Cold Steel, and others that all look the same to me. Multible case of black handles and bead blasted blades.
Around the corner from these cases is one case with some traditional knives. Some Case's, a few scatterings of Rough Rider's and other imports. Not very many. The owner is a pretty nice guy, who really likes knives, and we talk a bit when I'm in there. This subject has come up now and then, and I recall him telling me that for every tradition knife he sells, 10 tacticals will go out the door. The average age of the traditional knife buyer is about 40 or over, and the tactical buyer is from late teens to short of 30. The younger crowd wants every new knife they see in a video game, movie, or knife magazine. I think the younger crowd is not very interested in the esthetics of nice jigged bone or wood, but rather the hype of their video culture. Most of the sales of Case and other traditional knives seem to be the over 40 crowd.
Oddly enough, a huge amount of sak's are sold it 30 something people. I can only wonder if as kids, they were MacGuyver fans.
I worry about the future of the traditional pocket knife, because the culture that spawned them is gone. Very few of the grandpa's are left from that era, and few of the modern dad's are into a life style that they take junior out to the lake for fishing, or hunting. The modern outdoors person seems to be the yuppy backpackers, mountain bikers, and the REI crowd. They seem to mostly go for the multitool.
I think there will always be a slip joint maker around, but it seems to be going toward the boutique collector segment of the market. Knives from GEC, Queen, and S&M don't seen to appeal to the crown that just wants a knife in thier pocket in case something needs to be cut. With Schrade and Camillus gone, there is no more 15 dollar Old Timers. The lower end practical user market is all Chinese imports of tactical knock offs, Buck Batam's, Gerber paraframes, or Victorinox sak's from Target and Walmart. I see a ton of classics out there on key chains.
Of the current sales of traditional knives, I can only wonder how many are repeat sales to collectors who already have several of the brand. How many new knife buyers are spending the money for a Case or Queen, vs the guy walking into a Walmart and buying something for 10 dollars and that's it. He has a knife, and he doesn't care about fit and finish or materials. He just wants a sharp edge to cut something.
I don't know what the solution is, but the traditional knife companies can't keep going on just the repeat sales to the collectors. We need some low priced traditionals in the market place, or else. The market can't go on competing with under 20 dollar plastic handle locking blade knives like Buck Bantam's and Gerber LST's by selling 40 dollar pocket knives like granddad used to carry. The younger generation just ain't gonna go for it. I hope I'm wrong.
I think there will always be a market for the traditional. but I don't see them ever getting as popular as the tacticals. It's just to easy with CNC technology to make a gee whiz knife faster and cheaper than a traditonal. As far as any restrictive laws, people turn to things like the Spyderco UK pen knife. Or a sak. The sak seems to be a unique nitch in the market.
Carl.