Les Robertson
BANNED
- Joined
- Oct 10, 1998
- Messages
- 3,565
Straightblast,
Congrats, you hit the nail on the head. Indeed in the beginning of a down market, spending does increase on more expensive knives.
Many clients held off buying knives during the Bull Market. This was due to the ROI that thier portfolio's were earning.
However, once the Bear snuck in, and the ROI was not as substantial. Many started buying more expensive knives. Idea...buying the right knives I can probably get the same ROI as I am from my portfolio right now.
However, as the bear went to the fridge, got a snack and a beer, then got comfy on the couch with the TV remote. A different buying strategy.
The custom knife market contracted. Sought after makers are still sought after. All though collectors are looking for a less expensive version of an expensive knife. Say a bowie with carbon steel and wood handle as opposed to the same knife in Damascus and Ivory.
B and C level makers are now scrambling to sell knives.
Sales at shows are slowing. Due in large part to the Internet, people not wanting to hassle with flying and a misunderstanding of how you can and cannot transport knives, overseas buyers have slowed down coming to shows. Also, the number of shows has diluted the potential at every show.
So Joss, your answer was correct as well.
However, both you and Straightblast did not make a prediction on which knives to buy this year to resell for a profit next year.
Skyman,
You showed such promise. It does no good to be seen by all, if you are run over by an 18 Wheeler!
Ok, lets go to my favorite philosopher, Yoda! "Do or Do Not...there is no try".
Hopefully, this has removed liberals and the conservatives from this thread. And taken us back to things that affect collectablity!
Another hint...the book by M. Scott Peck
"The Road Less Traveled".
Yet another hint...Synergy as defined by Stephen Covey. Ok, since were talking about Stephen...Win-Win.
Something I incorporate when determining which makers to work with is what's known as SWOT Analysis.
Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats. For threats I like to use what we call in the Intelligence Community Indications and Warnings. This helps you perceive threats before the become an actual threat. ALthough, they are never 100% accurate.
Ok, I'll stop now. Obviously, I am excessively into information analysis.
The answer to the original question is:
Any choice is correct. However, to make any choice correct, the maker must do at least priliminary analysis of their market and their competiton. They must choose a path and stick to it (not walk in the middle of the road).
While it will take more time, ultimately it is those makers who start the path as opposed to follow the path who get noticed the most.
Synergy occurs when the maker puts together their network. That consists of customers (those who spread the buzz), suppliers, other knife makers (mentors), dealers, show promoters, writers and perhaps magazine editors. It is up to the maker to determine what network configuration will provide them with the optimal synergistic effect. The optimal effect is of course, increased sales that ultimately lead to a better position the market they are competing in.
None of this is simple or easy. For most knives are a hobby and that is all it will ever be. Nothing wrong with that.
But for those of you who wish to profit from your hobby. You must do your homework.
Forums such as these are great places for information. The key is to be able to interpret this information in a fashion that will help you achieve your desired results.
After all we use the forums to help reduce risk, cost and uncertainty.
With all this in mind, remember free advise is worth exactly what you paid for it!
Great thread Joss...Im sure we will revist this again in 6 months!
Congrats, you hit the nail on the head. Indeed in the beginning of a down market, spending does increase on more expensive knives.
Many clients held off buying knives during the Bull Market. This was due to the ROI that thier portfolio's were earning.
However, once the Bear snuck in, and the ROI was not as substantial. Many started buying more expensive knives. Idea...buying the right knives I can probably get the same ROI as I am from my portfolio right now.
However, as the bear went to the fridge, got a snack and a beer, then got comfy on the couch with the TV remote. A different buying strategy.
The custom knife market contracted. Sought after makers are still sought after. All though collectors are looking for a less expensive version of an expensive knife. Say a bowie with carbon steel and wood handle as opposed to the same knife in Damascus and Ivory.
B and C level makers are now scrambling to sell knives.
Sales at shows are slowing. Due in large part to the Internet, people not wanting to hassle with flying and a misunderstanding of how you can and cannot transport knives, overseas buyers have slowed down coming to shows. Also, the number of shows has diluted the potential at every show.
So Joss, your answer was correct as well.
However, both you and Straightblast did not make a prediction on which knives to buy this year to resell for a profit next year.
Skyman,
You showed such promise. It does no good to be seen by all, if you are run over by an 18 Wheeler!
Ok, lets go to my favorite philosopher, Yoda! "Do or Do Not...there is no try".
Hopefully, this has removed liberals and the conservatives from this thread. And taken us back to things that affect collectablity!
Another hint...the book by M. Scott Peck
"The Road Less Traveled".
Yet another hint...Synergy as defined by Stephen Covey. Ok, since were talking about Stephen...Win-Win.
Something I incorporate when determining which makers to work with is what's known as SWOT Analysis.
Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats. For threats I like to use what we call in the Intelligence Community Indications and Warnings. This helps you perceive threats before the become an actual threat. ALthough, they are never 100% accurate.
Ok, I'll stop now. Obviously, I am excessively into information analysis.
The answer to the original question is:
Any choice is correct. However, to make any choice correct, the maker must do at least priliminary analysis of their market and their competiton. They must choose a path and stick to it (not walk in the middle of the road).
While it will take more time, ultimately it is those makers who start the path as opposed to follow the path who get noticed the most.
Synergy occurs when the maker puts together their network. That consists of customers (those who spread the buzz), suppliers, other knife makers (mentors), dealers, show promoters, writers and perhaps magazine editors. It is up to the maker to determine what network configuration will provide them with the optimal synergistic effect. The optimal effect is of course, increased sales that ultimately lead to a better position the market they are competing in.
None of this is simple or easy. For most knives are a hobby and that is all it will ever be. Nothing wrong with that.
But for those of you who wish to profit from your hobby. You must do your homework.
Forums such as these are great places for information. The key is to be able to interpret this information in a fashion that will help you achieve your desired results.
After all we use the forums to help reduce risk, cost and uncertainty.
With all this in mind, remember free advise is worth exactly what you paid for it!
Great thread Joss...Im sure we will revist this again in 6 months!