Hi Joss,
Let me know what you think about a couple of these scenarios.
1) The maker seeing their knives selling for 3 times as much in the aftermarket. Raises the price from $800 to $1000 to compensate for the sale at the lottery.
While at the same time the price on an ordered knife stays the same. This allows those patient collectors the opportunity to get a very sought after knife for retail price.
The $200 premium added on by the maker will do a few things.
1) It will help ease the "pain" of those who have been waiting for in some cases 7 years for a knife, that is being sold to someone who may have waited as little as 10 minutes to get the same knife.
2) It will help the maker's bottom line as the $200 premium can go towards paying show expenses.
3) It will void any feeling of giving the maker a tip.
Second secenario:
As you pointed out before, those participating in an arbitrage and gain a substantial profit in a very short period of time (here is your part) would be subject to have to pay a 25% captial gains tax on that profit. Again, there goes the tip.
At the same time if you did claim the the captial gain, any money you gave (above the cost) would have to then be put on a 1099 and mailed to the maker so they could pay income tax on. So much for the tip.
3rd Scenario:
You pay the maker cash for the knife. Few if any will claim this as income. Consequently you have already tipped them. As they are going to save at least 28% (or whatever their tax bracket is) as well they won't have to pay FICA (another 12%) or any state or local taxes. So by paying cash you could have already given the maker a 40% or better tip without either party knowing it.
OK, the first scenario is probably the best all around. I was just having fun with 2 and 3
WWG