I think the Para 2 will surprise folks. I think it will hold more weight than any of the other non Cold Steel knives. May even hold more than a Tri-Ad lock.
Hmm i guess we can only find out when they test it. My opinion is that it will not hold as well as Triad lock based on the follow reasons.
Compression lock has 2 potential failure modes(only consider the lock failure, not blade breakage or other non-lock related failure like what happened to Tatanka):
1. Liner slippage
- The area of the tang contacting the lock bar is a slope, not a flat straight line, this is to allow for self adjustment as the lock wears. Similar to liner/frame lock. However, it's sloped outward, i.e. has less resistance for the lock liner to travel outward than inward(even though the spring tension slightly negates that). Because of this, there is a chance that under impact/load the lock bar can slip out of the position. Also, because the liner is made of steel, it doesn't stick as well to the blade tang.
- In contrast, triad lock bar and blade tang is cut at an opposite angle, i.e. higher chance for the lock to "slip in" than to "slip out" under heavy impact, so the lock bar has a tendency to move in during impact as there are less resistance that way. This pretty much eliminates the chance of lock slipping out during impact. Remember, nature always follows the path of the least resistance. Just like how the water droplet is round.
2. Material failure
- Another way for the compression lock to fail is when the liner deformed/damaged to the point that it can no longer support the blade tang, either by breaking(unlikely due to soft-ish steel) or deforming(plastic probably). Alternatively, the stop-pin could fail or shear out of the steel liner & G-10, even though it's unlikely to happen IMO. In this case i think the weakest link is the single part of the ~1-1.5mm thick liner "sandwiched" between the blade tang and the stop-pin, and i believe the width of the liner sandwiched is about or less than 6mm IIRC. So you have a 6mm high/wide and 1-1.5mm thick material holding the blade open.
- On the other hand, triad has the same failure mode to, where the lock bar has to either break, or the stop pin has to break out of the G-10 handle. In terms of material, let's assume that the width and height of the lockbar contacting the blade tang and the stop-pin is the same as compression above, you have a lockbar *thickness* of ~0.5mm more than the blade thickness. Take American Lawman as example, that is 4mm, so that about ~2.5 - 4 times the material to break(assuming material is the same). Another interesting point is that for Triad lock, in order for the lockbar to break, the stop pin has to break out of the G-10. However in order for the stop pin to get shear off the G-10, the lockbar has to be deformed enough(i.e. break). So the lock bar and the handle holding the stop pin essentially have to fail together in order for the lock to break! This is because the lock bar itself, even without the stop pin is a full functional lockback on adrenalin.
Or course during real life scenario, there are many other variables that can cause failure. But based on the above analysis(with totally no scientific data

) my opinion that Triad lock is less prone to failure.