This is a bugout bag, not a recreational bushcrafting bag. For a worst-case scenario, I'd bring as much as I could reasonably carry while covering long distances on my own power. For a skills based weekend trip, I'd minimize.
My same reasoning.
I think most need to understand that "bugging out" can be different scenarios depending on the individual's situations and the season and location are major factors.
For me, the most likely scenario would be bugging home from work (about 25 miles; back roads/woods).
Some here travel during the winter up north with the potential to get stuck, iced or snowed in...That would be major SHTF situation. Others live, work or travel in hurricane country...during those seasons, a major hurricane can become a pretty severe SHTF scenario.
Of course most are concerned with massive civil unrest, terrorist attack or some other major regional calamity.
Bugging out doesn't always mean leaving your primary residence...it could be "bugging home", evacuating your college residence to get back to your parents or other bug-out location, etc.
With all that said, your bug out bag needs to be built for speed (think grab and go). It's not a recreational pack and I would start with the essentials and build out depending on your specific requirements. There are so many variables that each individual needs to conduct their own analysis and build off the most likely scenario. In the military, we really need to asses the "most dangerous" verse the "most likely" and apply time and resources for the more immediate threat...the "most likely". A lot of bug out bags are built around the "most dangerous" and they often build massive, all encompassing kits or delay the building of the kit (mostly due to funds) over time. Don't get caught up in the romantic doomsday bug out bag. Of the dozen scenarios I marked as my "most likely", most are localized and utilities/services or transportation are only impact for less than a week to ten days. I've considered weather, fire, flooding, loss of power, chemical spill, minor civil unrest (most likely in the bigger city about 30 miles away) attack on our military base, etc. The worse would be a nuclear plan incident, but fortunately, the prevailing winds typically blow in our favor.
What I look for is an essentials kit that isn't too big/heavy but covers some of the more severe scenarios (dust/smoke mask) and enough food/water to keep me moving for 72-96 hours. If you travel significant distances and your bug out kit is in your vehicle, you can pack more substantial food, water and other essentials. I still think you need to consider carrying your bug out bag and least minimal distances...up to a road, to a motel, police station, nearby house...if you have to evacuate in a remote area, you don't want to lug too much given the impacts of stress during a crisis.
There are numerous opinions and almost as many individual scenarios for bugging out or bugging home. Only YOU can decide what is most likely and what is the best load-out for your situations, location, climate and most likely "threats".
ROCK6