How long can I expect the shapton to go before needing flattening, assuming I do not let my knives get real dull. I am a fan of doing less work more often. Roughly speaking, of course.
You should lap the stone before every use.
This not only ensures your stones is always flat but the abrasive is fresh. When you use the Shapton, like any waterstone, the abrasive on the surface dulls, fractures, compresses and releases. This "used" abrasive does not cut like fresh abrasive so you should never use your stones if not lapped between use.
Waterstones are a sharpening process, they are a tool that needs to be used from start to finish without much change. Once you start sharpening on a waterstone you simply cannot stop half way through then start on another knife, you can but it won't yield the same results. Because the stone is doing more than just sharpening you need to learn how to "work the stone down" until the stone is done sharpening.
I use cheap (3-5$ish) diamond plates from AE to flatten my 2k shapton GS, works very well. Specifically I mark the stone with pencil, test on glass + SiC paper, then use the plates to take of the high spots, lastly finish on glass + SiC paper, which can take multiple sheets of paper.
@JasonB could you talk a bit more about the type of abrasive in glass stones and why its not used more widely?
For starters, the stones are probably cutting your SiC paper more than your paper is cutting the stone. This is sintered ceramic abrasive in a binder and I have watched it eat up cheap diamond plates so the SiC paper is probably just barely making the cut, literally. Depending on the grits you are using for lapping its probably greatly affecting the performance of your stones causing them to polish much more than they should. A 300-400 grit diamond is about ideal for the 500-30k stones and obviously coarser for the 120, 220 and 320 stones. Using any finer on the 500-30k will cause Glazing issues and a poor cutting stone.
Using a proper lapping plate and not cheap diamond plates that cost less than lunch will make a big difference too. Im sure your Shapton are far from flat or have proper texture at this point. You would be doing yourself a big favor by purchasing a good diamond plate, Atoma 400 is one of the better options under $100.
The abrasive in these stones is listed as "High quality ceramic" and through some searching and phone calls I have found to the best of my knowledge that the abrasive is sintered ceramic which is basically aluminum clay heated to extreme temperatures until it turns into Alumina Ceramic. This abrasive is very hard and only diamond and CBN are harder, thus the reason these waterstones cut so fast and polish so well.... and should be lapped with a diamond plate.
Not used more widely because Shapton does it best and most others use Aluminum oxide or Silicon Carbide in a wide range of binders. It's a good abrasive but if you sharpen a wide range of knives or specific types of knives its not always the best choice. Having stone options is good and often necessary with the endless possible knife styles and steels.