I raised my eyebrow at that number but it is quoted in several places.
“When Spring arrived, there were only about 50 survivors.
Only 5 of the survivors were adult women. Given the numbers, I can't help thinking that some Wampanoag blood-line may need to be considered.”
Roger, when you posted the number of 35 million Mayflower descendants, I immediately thought of three things.
1. What data, assumptions and equations are the basis for the estimate of 35 million.
2. It’s a good thing that my great-grandfather Lindsay wasn’t part of the Mayflower contingent. He wouldn’t have contributed much to the exponential growth. He had eleven children and nine of them survived to adulthood. Of those nine, only two married and had children—my grandfather had three and one of his brothers had one. None of the others ever married, even though most lived into old age.
3. Years ago I did a study of inbreeding in Alaskan Malamutes. The breed was registered with the AKC in 1935, but by 1947 there were only about thirty registered dogs left. Many had been lost during the Byrd Antarctic expeditions and as sled dogs for the army during World War II. At the time I worked on this, my calculation was that more than 16,000 dogs would have been needed in the base population to ensure there was absolutely no inbreeding. Of course that wasn’t the case, and I found a lot of inbreeding occurred in the 1950s—mother-son; father-daughter; and sister-brother were the extreme cases.
For the Mayflower survivors, I doubt that inbreeding was an acceptable choice although it wouldn’t surprise me if cousin-cousin breeding occurred. Since the European population was pretty limited, some breeding with the native population is a distinct possibility, but that probably does not show up in the records.