WWlll Is Being Televised

[hollowdweller]

Any site can be bombed successfully -- if you know where it is. Our record in that regard is not super. We supposedly have very poor humint on Iran.

I was hearing on the radio this week that actually France has the very best on the ground intelligence in Lebanon. Seriously.

 

[hollowdweller]

Iran has made a few interesting moves since the world found out that Israel wasn't going to shrug off the last Hizballah provocation.

First, they had a couple of high-level officials fly in to Syria for consultations. The media here interpreted that as meaning Iran backed Hizballah and was going to support them. In fact, one report suggested that an Iranian commander was actually taking over from Nasrallah, since he had underestimated Israeli intentions so badly.

Well, maybe, maybe not. The latest statement from Iran is that they claim they have no connection with Hizballah. Believe that? Or is that diplomatic jargon for "OK, we will back off and not stir up any more trouble!" ?

Today we got another report: an Iranian organization had signed up hundreds of volunteers to join Hizballah. They set off in uniform to go through Turkey to Syria and on into Lebanon. Except the Iranians wouldn't let them leave.

It could it be that Iran does not really want an armed conflict with the US, at a time we are strongly backing Israel's right to trash Lebanon.

I think Iran wants to unite all the Shiite governments in the Region. Lebanon, Iraq and itself, however having themselves drawn into the conflict and bombed is not in their plans. Their country is just now recovering from that 8 year war with Iraq.