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- Feb 28, 2011
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To my satisfaction, the theory of evolution has been disproved.
YMMV
And that is perfectly OK by me.
Moving on to statistics:
A billion to one odds do not become likely even in the event that there are 10 billion opportunities - the odds remain a billion to one.
But we're not speaking of such favorable odds. We're speaking of odds that mathematically, show trillions upon trillions of opportunities (per second) spread out over billions of years, aren't possible. Not even once - and it would have to happen millions of times (in that same period of time) for evolution (Darwinism) to be factual. It is a mathematical impossibility.
That's science, not mere personal incredulity.
You say that the odds aren't possible without demonstrating why they aren't and yes, rare events become likely when opportunities for them to happen increase. You say that the odds are still a billion to one and that's true, but that's a statement meaning that if conditions are met 1 billion times it is likely this will happen only once. Therefore, with 10 billion opportunities it becomes increasingly improbable that said event will not happen. My point is you're discussing mathematical probabilities in scenarios which we can't possibly calculate how likely or unlikely it is for life to evolve. It might be nearly inevitable given the correct conditions, we just don't know. Basing belief on flawed calculations is problematic. Where are you getting your numbers from? How do you know which variables must be in place for life to form? How do you know the number of places on which those conditions will be met? We just don't know enough about the universe to state that anything like this is improbable or impossible.