SamuraiDave said:
I have to tell yall, I havent read anything but the first 3 posts of this thread and I have to chime in.
There will be another greatest generation. It may be the last as the US. knows it. I can't comprehend how we can win.
China has been increasing their military spending by 40% every year over the past 25 years. They have a standing army of 2 million, just the army, and not including reserves. They are updating their navy, their air force, and developing new weaponry to compete with ours. They are the growing economic and technologic lead in the world due to population, and if you study how their market works, it is exactly how they are building their weapons. That is to combat against the west.
Every administration has heard this from every intelligence agency we have had over the past 25 years. Nothing has been done. The american people don't care and would rather turn a profit now and a war later.
On that note I am going to bed. I think I will read the other 3 pages of posts tomorrow.
Just some observations.
You underestimated the power of compounding. $1 compounded at 40% annually for 25 years is $4499.87. That would turn a modest $1,000,000,000 military budget into $4,499,873,214,000 after 25 years -- $4.5 Trillion (and $6.3 Trillion next year). The Chinese don't spend that much 'cause they don't have it. They have not been increasing their military spending at anything near 40% annually. Ergo, "every adminstration" has not been hearing such intelligence.
No economically significant nation has a technological lead on any other. Technology flows like water.
India, I believe, is now the most populous nation on earth, and it's aim is to be the No. 1 high tech nation on earth. China does not have a replacement birth rate at present.
Also, looking at the record of the last two generations, justification put aside, one might ask which nation is more likely to go to war. Our bombs have fallen on Lebanon, Serbia, Sedan, Grenada, Panama, Lybia, Afghanistan, and Iraq. In how many nations have Chinese troops gone to war? That would be none.
(Ed: If you mention Tibet, I will have to mention the northern 60% of Mexico - Mexico north of the Rio Bravo and Colorado.)