These are strange times for me. Having a pocket knife in my pocket for over 50 years including when in my school years, I don't understand how one gets by without at least a butterbean, peanut or small jack in the pocket. To me, that is like leaving home without my pants.
I still work in the trades and have to say only one or two of the "old school dogs" (as we have been dubbed by the under 30 set) out of dozens I work with carry a pocket knife on a regular basis on the job. I don't get it. They don't even carry those once popular razor knives that folded and locked. They just don't carry a knife. Most guys I know don't carry even a small utility type knife unless it is a SAK.
And while you hear of such things, you never think it will happen to you. Last year for Christmas I bought my nephew a slick little folder and his dad (a really great guy!) a Mora 2000 after some good guidance from another sub forum on BF. Both of them use their knives. But only a little.
On his way to Life Scout, my nephew used his knife to get his "toten chip" badge for knife safety and safe use. He occasionally takes it camping. Occasionally...
His Dad loves that Mora. Lightweight, no maintenance, and holds and edge very well. As a senior scoutmaster in his son's troop, the leads the camping efforts once a month. He takes that knife most of the time, but not always.
When NOT camping or doing activities that might require a knife, neither carry a knife. My BIL's reasoning for my nephew is that he will get in much more trouble with the knife in his pocket then without it. His point was that my nephew might forget and take it to school (he is 12 after all...) or to some function where he might scare other people and in the end just get himself in trouble. The prevailing logic at the BSA council of Houston TX they have adopted is that a knife is a specific use tool, and when you need it, you carry it.
How awful. I remember specifically needing a pocket knife ever since I can remember.
So I don't really know how many knives are being sold to the public. Certainly GEC is a out of the park, grand slam home run for their offerings here withing the BF community, but outside this venue only a couple of my friends have heard of GEC (none have heard of Tidioute, Canal Street, Northwoods, Tuna Valley, Champlin, etc.) and none of them own one.
So while the boutique brands grow and serve their clients, what about the MILLIONS of knives that used to be sold 35 years ago to a smaller population? Think about how few knives are made today compared to when Colonial, Keen Kutter, Hammer Brand, Imperial, Schrade, and the giant behemoth Camillus (with all its contracting work) were cranking at capacity. Surely between them they sold millions a year. Then add in all the great German brands that sold at least that many traditionals every year as Owl Brand, Indian Head, etc., that no longer with us. In fact, none of those mentioned by me are still in business here in the USA or Germany. Their names as well as countless others have been sold off for good will and are now stamped on off shore offerings.
Had those companies been doing well (read: strong, healthy sales), I doubt they would have filed for bankruptcy or sold off their assets a piece at a time to hang on.
I think the boutique stores and brands will continue to sell their wares to a well heeled, nostalgic audience, but the new generations of traditional users just aren't coming along.
Robert