I started thinking about it and I think that I may have been a little too conservative with my previous estimates. Yes, there are going to be a thousand 0777's made..........which is double the number of TiLTs out there in the world. I guess my thought process WAS that if I was able to get a TiLT ( at around $375, I think ), that it shouldn't be that hard, down the road, to find an 0777 for sale. I also managed to buy a Volt 3600 ( I'm not sure what the production numbers are on those, but they're pretty hard to come by ) and you still see Speedform I's for sale from time to time on here and ebay, even though I think they were fairly low production, as well. ( Anyone who knows the production numbers for the Volt 3600 and Speedform 1, I'd love to know what they were )
Now, that being said, none of those are the 0777. Sure, the Speedform won accolades, the TiLT is a ridiculously cool and rare knife, and so is the Volt 3600. However, someone made a good point in saying that the majority of buyers are buying them because they are collectors, so of that 1000, I'd venture to say that 60%-75% are going to disappear into collections. Sure, there will be a few folks who are just looking to turn them for a profit and there will be others that either don't like it or decide that they'd like to sell it because they would like to have the money to buy something else. At first, I felt that ( and this may have been wishful thinking on my part ) once all 1000 hit the buyer's hands, that the secondary market would end up with enough available for the price to drop below $600. As I think about it now, I'm under more of the impression that the price will more likely settle in around $700+.
The $900-$1000+ that people are asking right now is obviously a bit high, but there are folks paying anywhere between $480 and $600 for them from the stores. If the TiLT retailed at $260 and are now selling near $400, thats a 65% increase in price. Average between $480 and $600 is $540.00. a 65% increase on that price equals around $890. Figure that is a bit high due to more people paying around $500 including shipping, etc than those paying $600 and you're looking at around $800-$850.
Of course, I may be wrong, but if I'm not able to get one at a much better price than that. I gotta say I'll be very disappointed.
Anyway, just my take on the situation.