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Thomas Linton said:Ah so. The second most common observation of persons found by my SAR organization (all those years ago) was to the effect that they didn't think they would get lost. Well gee.
(They were surrounded by red oak and beech leaves still on the trees on this early Spring day.)
Cliff Stamp said:In general it probably isn't likely, what is the probability of being injured in a car crash vs getting lost while camping/hiking. It is in general a fairly safe bet I would imagine. I know many people who have done this most of their life, thousands and thousands of times, no incidents. It isn't surprising people don't prepare.
. . .
-Cliff
Cliff Stamp said:Yes but how many people, of that type actually end up in a survival situation, while it would seem reasonable to conclude the more experience the less likely the senario I would wonder if the probably is large even for those with none.
-Cliff
bulgron said:. . .By definition, a survival situation is a situation that we are not prepared for. If we're prepared for it, then it just becomes an unexpected, and possibly inconvenient, camping trip. Whenever flying over or driving through the wilderness, do try to be prepared to go camping at any moment. That way, you're almost completely unlikely to ever experience a survival situation.![]()
Though cluelessness is the major part of the problem, thinking that some area is 'safe' is misleading. In Los Angeles (not exactly the backwoods), there are many 'wilderness areas' where well maintained hiking paths wind up into the mountains. But every weekend, some goof will go up there wearing sandals, or without water, or just in shorts and teeshirt. Then, they take a misstep, twist their ankle on a rock or gopher hole because they weren't looking, and nearly die of hypothermia when they can't get down before nightfall. Or better, they fall 500ft down a ravine and have to be helicoptered out. Sometimes in a stokes litter, sometimes in a bodybag.Thomas Linton said:Wildeness areas are relatively quite safe for current uses and users. But some are les safe that others due to cluelessness.
bulgron said:There are plenty of examples of people who find themselves stuck in the wilderness without intending to ever go there.
erdvark said:Though cluelessness is the major part of the problem, thinking that some area is 'safe' is misleading. In Los Angeles (not exactly the backwoods), there are many 'wilderness areas' where well maintained hiking paths wind up into the mountains. But every weekend, some goof will go up there wearing sandals, or without water, or just in shorts and teeshirt. Then, they take a misstep, twist their ankle on a rock or gopher hole because they weren't looking, and nearly die of hypothermia when they can't get down before nightfall. Or better, they fall 500ft down a ravine and have to be helicoptered out. Sometimes in a stokes litter, sometimes in a bodybag.
Thomas Linton said:Isn't it the unplanned aspect and the risk to life that makes it a "survival" situation? "Unprepared," being relative, just means less likely to suvive, yes?
I'm curious, which studies are these, Accidents in North American Mountaineering? Is there another one? In my 2005 copy of ANAM, the funny thing is the number 4 reason is 'exceeding abilities.'Thomas Linton said:In the only two statistical studies of wilderness mortality, falls were in the top three recorded causes of death.
erdvark said:I'm curious, which studies are these, Accidents in North American Mountaineering? Is there another one? In my 2005 copy of ANAM, the funny thing is the number 4 reason is 'exceeding abilities.'