That's only a partial from the document and does not take into consideration what they did to reduce the risk.
This story begins with research I started a few days ago after reading about the recent, tragic incident involving a United States Air Force airman who was killed while on duty, reportedly while unholstering his Air Force-issued Sig Sauer M18. This firearm is, for all intents and purposes...
practicalshootinginsights.com
The author of that article got hold of the redacted document and was able to unredact it. He published the unredacted version. (and is getting sued for it.)
I've pulled the risk in question from the document.
View attachment 2942586
That "C" refers to the likelihood using MIL 882 terminology, "
View attachment 2942587
So initially, the minimum risk of it happening was assessed to be at least 0.001% or 0.00001
The way probability calculations work is you multiply the probability by the number of units under consideration.
So if they produce 100,000 of them that's 0.00001 x 100,000 or 1 uncommanded discharge.
Max risk was 0.1% or .001
or 100 per 100,000 produced.
BUT
That was the initial assessment.
Their initial assessment on their Risk Assessment Matrix was "High"
Here are their comments in this report on that line item as to what they did about it to reduce the risk
In their assessment, the secondary safety should have eliminated the risk of the occurrence and gave them a final Risk Assessment Score of "MEDIUM".
The way a Risk Assessment Matrix works is you look at the probability of something happening vs. the negativity of the result if it does.
My interpretation of MEDIUM is they assessed a "very low probability" of the event occurring, but a "very negative" result should it occur. So they assigned it a Risk Assessment of "Medium" based on the severity of the result should it occur.
Bottom Line:
IMO this report shows that Sig Sauer addressed the issue and they felt that they had it under control because of the secondary safety. At the time of the report they had not evaluated the report from the customer that the item failed a test. So that is not addressed.