Collection Liquidation - Profit or Loss?

What is something worth....Whatever someone will pay for it.

I have been giving pricing advise to makers for 20 years. I have had some listen and others (looking merely for confirmation) disregard my suggestions.

The only correlation between the custom knife market and the stock market is from the point of view of an investor putting together a portfolio. Doing so with custom knives allows the investor, in theory, to be diverse enough to make a buck no matter what the market conditions are.

Most knives for sale in the primary market are overpriced to begin with. So it should come as no surprise that the knives sell for a loss in the after market. I stress knives with value pricing both to the makers I work with and the clients I work with. Value pricing eliminates a lot of the devaluation that is found in the after market. Although, nothing can provide a remedy for those who need cash quick.

Jerry Fisk is the most sought after ABS MS in the world. Is it because his work is superior to every other maker out there? No. Is it because his knives are super cheap and provide an exceptional value in he primary market? No. Is it because his knives can be picked up for a fraction of the retail price in the after market? No.

What is then, why do Jerry's knives continue to go up in value? Because Jerry has for one thing taken the ABS out of his business equation. He was smart enough to see too many other makers fighting each other to try and use the ABS as their main marketing tool.

Now remember, this is an organization that goes to extreme lengths to disassociate itself from any aspect of helping the makers market themselves. The ABS is about nothing but education of knife makers. To the point that the ABS attorney has told makers they cannot put the ABS logo on their business cards! Collectors wonder why custom knives is in the state that it is. I Talked with a very prominent ABS MS who when asked the question why doesn't the ABS web site have a section for the JS Makers like it does for the MS makers? His response, I didn't know that was the case. Fair enough.

He is not on the board of directors. Ok then why don't the board of directors do something about this. After all the JS makers pay their dues, just like he MS makers. I was told on another forum that the reason the JS makers are not put on the web site has to do with there is not enough band width. How about that for a BS reason.

So Jerry understanding the limitations of this organization for the knife maker who is also a businessman (a rare commodity in custom knives). Took it upon himself to establish the "FISK" Brand. Jerry opened the doors for hundreds of MS and JS makers, by training them and helping them in any way he could. He went to numerous hammer-ins around the US. He was the guy who went to Brazil to establish that group of makers. Brand "FISK" is everywhere. Hammer-In's, Foreign Countries, Knife Shows, Teaching and Uncle Al's monthly meetings. Brand "FISK" then had the unmitigated gaul to put on his own show!!!! Who the hell does the think he is??? He is Brand "FISK".

Brand "FISK" is also without a doubt the most sought after active ABS Maker on planet Earth.

Why don't other makers do this....because it is hard and it is time consuming.

I met a Maker (introduced to him by Jerry Fisk) at the Spirit of Steel show several years ago. Great guy, excellent knife maker and his prices were more than fair. I ordered several knives. His knives sold very well. He won a Best OF at the Blade Show. The following year he won another Best Of award. Listening to others around him advising him to raise his prices...he did just that. To the point he was no longer providing value pricing. But he was hot collectors wanted his work. So he continued to sell knives and continued to raise prices.

Sadly a few years later almost without exception his knives languish on web sites and forums only being sold for a substantial loss. What happened?

I direct your attention to the "Product Life Cycle".

1) Introduction

2) Growth

3) Maturity

4) Decline

This particular maker experienced growth when his knives were value priced. His knives reach maturity when the collectors had bought all they wanted. His knives are now in decline as they cannot support the primary market price in the after market.

Results, dealers stop buying his knives, collectors start selling his knives at a huge loss. Those looking to buy his knives do a search of the forums. See that his knives do not hold their value in the after market. Opt for another makers work.

Who is responsible for this? Everyone. The maker for not understanding their position in the market and utilizing an appropriate pricing structure.

The makers fellow makers for encouraging them to raise their prices (The maker forgets that listing to other makers for pricing advise is probably not the best idea. This is your competitor). Come on how often does Chevy include Ford in the talks for developing a price of their new car? NEVER.

The collector for not doing their homework and buying a knife that is overpriced. Then rationalizing their poor decision making with the catch all defense..."I Buy What I Like".

The dealer for being a "dumb ass" and buying a knife when they knew better. Yes I will be in Peter's thread. I knew the knife was overpriced and without a sheath and I still bought it. This mistake was never repeated again with this maker.

Fortunately for most makers, most collectors don't really know what they are looking at. I always include in my seminars for collectors this phrase:

"Do your homework. By not doing so you are punishing good makers and giving false hope to bad makers".

I include this in my seminars to makers:

"Know your position in the market and price your knives accordingly. By doing so your knives will always be priced correctly".

Some listen...most don't.

For the collectors, tired of your knives losing money in the after market? Buy knives that don't.

For the makers, tired of your knives being "dumped at a loss" in the after market? Price them right to being with.

Simple in word, but apparently difficult in deed.

WWG
Giver of free advise that is worth every penny you pay for it!
 
Peter, that was just a made up example of something that happens every day (collectors selling too cheap).
I have bought my share of bargins, and that's not the point. And sometimes collectors need to free up cash for other things requiring them to sell quick and cheap.
Look BIG picture here.
It's about collectors needing to sell wisely to help keep the industry healthy, rather than bitching about how much money they have lost on knives and who to blame.

Kevin,

You are losing me a bit here. Do you now agree with me, that you and Fisk would have suffered no harm from the bargain sale of the Sendero?

"sometimes collectors need to free up cash for other things" BINGO! What else is new? Proper previous planing, prevents piss poor performance.

I absolutely do not understand what the word INDUSTRY has to do with this discussion. We are discussing custom knives made by less than 50 makers who perhaps make an average of 20 knives in a year. Less than 1/10 of 1% of handmade knives. Some are improving, some are slipping back, new people are entering the arena and older ones are leaving. We all have opinions and make judgements about who is doing what. Now perhaps Stephen "Di Medici" Foster is awake with worry about their fates, but I am not.

And yes WWG you will be exposed in my thread!
 
It's about collectors needing to sell wisely to help keep the industry healthy, rather than bitching about how much money they have lost on knives and who to blame.

I am pretty sure its more about collectors "buying" wisely rather than selling wisely....
 
I am pretty sure its more about collectors "buying" wisely rather than selling wisely....

Anthony, what would you define "buying wisely" as?

- Buying a well made, well designed knife, with excellent FnF at a good price.

Or

- Buying a knife from a name that is popular and expected to retain or improve its value.

Cheers,

Stephen
 
Roger,

I am inclined to do it on the Forum. I think it might prove to be a valuable insight for collectors and makers.
Be warned, you figure in the story.

Heaven forfend! :eek:

Do whatcha gotta do bro, I'm still interested. :)

Roger
 
Hi Stephen,


- Buying a well made, well designed knife, with excellent FnF at a good price.

Or

- Buying a knife from a name that is popular and expected to retain or improve its value.

Why can't you employ both? As either could fall under the category "buying wisely".

WWG
Buy Low...Sell High.
 
Kevin,
You are losing me a bit here. Do you now agree with me, that you and Fisk would have suffered no harm from the bargain sale of the Sendero?

Peter, if the Sendero (or whatever knife) is consistently being sold for $1900 by the maker (whatever maker), then some collectors start dumping them at $1400 thus lowering the market price this equals a $500 lost per knife to all current Sendero collectors and Mr. Maker will have to keep lowering his to price to match the dropping price or he will not sell anymore.

So I lose $500 per knife owned.
The Maker loses as he has a declining market ($1900-$1400-$900-$0).
The dumping owner loses $500 per knife dumped assuming he paid same $1900 as everyone else.
The bargain shopper wins, as he gets a $1900 knife for $1400.
 
Hi Stephen,




Why can't you employ both? As either could fall under the category "buying wisely".

WWG
Buy Low...Sell High.

You can, and we do, but if you include the second aspect in every decision, how on earth do the "non names" become "names"!

If people buy solely on the "name/value retention" criteria there is a risk that the "knife" gets over looked. Bubbles created and expectations dashed.

So, for me the number one buying criteria is the "knife" not the "name". But by definition this contains inherent risk as they may not be a name yet, or ever.

So perhaps when we talk about "buying wisely" we are really talking about "buying safely" as the "wise" qualification seems to refer to the mitigation of risk, not the purchase of a fine knife.


Cheers,

Stephen
 
It’s hard to understand for me the “aversion” against the “buy what you like” position. If I don’t buy what I like, the whole knife collecting starts to look like work, and that is where the fun stops.
I say buy what you like, but educate your taste! Unless you are into it for making money only, in which case it doesn’t really matter if you like the knife you buy as long as it brings in a nifty profit.
Here is how I buy a knife:

1. I see a knife I like. If I don’t, it doesn’t make it any further.
2. If I can handle it, the fact that I like it rules out design fit & finish problems, because I’m very “anal” about that. I do an extensive search about the maker.
3. I do a research on what the price should be for that particular knife.
4. If it’s an expensive piece, I try to ask a more experienced collector or dealer what he thinks about it. It worked every time. A fellow forumite helped me in the decision making process when I bought a Kressler last week. I won’t name him because I didn’t ask him if he wants to. I’m glad he helped out.
5. I buy it.

It’s not a perfect process but served me well so far. I had to sell several knives (mostly to finance other knives but also to raise more urgent $) and rarely lost money. Examples:

1. Neil Blackwood Mini Melee, sold to a dealer, I made a small profit, he made profit too (saw his sale).
2. Terry Primos El Camino& another small knife, sold very fast to another dealer, made a small profit, I hope he made profit too. ;)
3. Don Hanson bowie, sold even, very fast (a day or so).
4. Jens Anso nasty necker, sold even very fast.
5. Jens Anso Amok folder, sold even.
6. Achim Wirtz wootz friction folder, couldn’t sell on any USA based forum (quite a niche market and custom made to my specs…), sold even somewhere else.
7. Kevin Wilkins Leafstorm, sold even very fast.
 
Flava, based on your post, in my opinion you are a successful collector.
You buy what you like and don't lose your ass doing it. :thumbup:
 
Ah, our very own Anthony goes to school. Should be interesting.

I love the people that come on to the for sale threads and tell you what a great knife it is, that they should buy or someone should...yet they never buy the knife. Why is that?

Anthony, on a serious note, I think you have to list the prices or the moderators consider it an auction.

WWG
 
Hi Stephen:

If people buy solely on the "name/value retention" criteria there is a risk that the "knife" gets over looked. Bubbles created and expectations dashed.

This is where the business aspect comes in. Makers who advertise and market their work are not overlooked. Those who are innovators and leaders are not over looked. Bubbles don't develop and expectations are met.

Those who don't market their knives, don't develop a business team, are basically followers almost always get over looked. Bubbles are never made so they can't burst. No expectations (except in the makers mind) are created as such they cannot be dashed.

In the world of sales (yes the makers are trying to sell their knives as such they are salesmen and saleswomen) you are not rewarded for simply trying. Most sales people leave the profession because they are not self-motivated enough to develop the skills necessary to properly sell the product.

In this case custom knives. One of the keys of being successful in sales is superior product knowledge. This is one place that most makers fail. While they have a superior product knowledge in making their knife in their shop. More times than not this knowledge does not give you an advantage in the larger market. The world where competitive advantage and price point are your friends. If not they are an enemy to be feared.

WWG
 
Hi Flava,

I don't have an adverse position against buying what you like. In fact, that is my first rule of "COLLECTING".

The problem comes when "COLLECTORS" try to sell part of their "COLLECTION". Then complain when that part of the "COLLECTION" does not sell for what they thought it would.

As I said earlier too many collectors expect to "Pass the Test" without any study (WORK).

You are the exception rather than the rule, you bought knives (although Im sure some homework was involved) and sold most at break even or a slight profit....Good for you.

WWG
 
Back
Top