Collection Strategy & Economic uncertainty

HI Giant,

I an not talking about giving anyone permission for buying any knife. You miss the point.

It is after the knife is purchased.

.

Les,
Point taken, sorry if I misunderstood and my comment came over a little strong.

HI Giant,



Out of curiosity what are you basing your comments on my "generalization" on? Surely more than just your experience buying and selling knives. As if that is all you have then I would suggest that you are the one who is generalizing.


Les wrote "These are almost without exception BWIL Club members"

This comment sounds like a generalisation to me!! You seem adamant that only BWIL guys will winge. I don't / won't accept that. It's too broad a statement.

Whilst I don't agree with all the points you have made, I certainly would not attempt to put my knowledge of knives and the industry in general above yours, as clearly you would have more experience and knowledge than me :thumbup:

Thanks for a great discussion.
 
I just can't let this one statement to continually slip by:

"This is the sticking point. Those who "Buy What They Like" do no investigating..at all. They see the knife and they buy it...simple transaction."

That's not so. I'll give you two recent examples.

I have a Terzuola ACTF. I waited for 7 years to buy it, having fallen in love with it at a show years ago. I've also seen ACTFs on your table Les and others, but couldn't meet the prices, nor did the dealers have the exact model I wanted. I finally ordered it and bought it direct from Bob. As you know, that's the best price, I got What I Like, and I had time to save up for it. I waited, I investigated and I bought it.

Although not a custom, I fell in love with the Tony Bose Yukon Jack when it came out 9 years ago. I was not about to pay $350 for a Case. I waited and recently found it at a gun show the knife for $225. I finally decided I had to have it. I thought it was a great price, even then, at the show I checked the internet from my phone to confirm I couldn't buy it elsewhere for less.

Maybe I am an exception to the rule, but many people in this thread seem to buy what they like and also know fair value.
 
Im trying to figure out exactly what is being said here. Certainly there are investment-grade makers and ones that will not guarantee a ROI. The "buy what you like" types are getting pounded here as being flippant and reckless in their purchases since they don't spend time doing research on each purchase they make to ensure they don't "lose" money. I am missing exactly how a maker can become a "good investment" without these reckless BWIL collectors discovering them?

Aren't prices driven by supply and demand?

Is the demand for "investment-class" makers' knives mainly due to the fact that you can make money off buying and reselling those knives or the fact that the knives are what is in demand because people "like" them or have "liked" them regardless of their potential resale value?

IMHO, if collectors are buying knives that they dont like simply because they are a good investment...they are investors not collectors. I doubt there are many of these, which means non-BWIL collectors are pretty much all "buy what I like" guys except what they "like" just happens to be knives made by established makers with a world supply of knives less than the current demand.
 
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Im trying to figure out exactly what is being said here. Certainly there are investment-grade makers and ones that will not guarantee a ROI. The "buy what you like" types are getting pounded here as being flippant and reckless in their purchases since they don't spend time doing research on each purchase they make to ensure they don't "lose" money. I am missing exactly how a maker can become a "good investment" without these reckless BWIL collectors discovering them?

Aren't prices driven by supply and demand?

Is the demand for "investment-class" makers' knives mainly due to the fact that you can make money off buying and reselling those knives or the fact that the knives are what is in demand because people "like" them or have "liked" them regardless of their potential resale value?

IMHO, if collectors are buying knives that they dont like simply because they are a good investment...they are investors not collectors. I doubt there are many of these, which means non-BWIL collectors are pretty much all "buy what I like" guys except what they "like" just happens to be knives made by established makers with a world supply of knives less than the current demand.

I just can't let this one statement to continually slip by:

"This is the sticking point. Those who "Buy What They Like" do no investigating..at all. They see the knife and they buy it...simple transaction."

That's not so. I'll give you two recent examples.

I have a Terzuola ACTF. I waited for 7 years to buy it, having fallen in love with it at a show years ago. I've also seen ACTFs on your table Les and others, but couldn't meet the prices, nor did the dealers have the exact model I wanted. I finally ordered it and bought it direct from Bob. As you know, that's the best price, I got What I Like, and I had time to save up for it. I waited, I investigated and I bought it.

Although not a custom, I fell in love with the Tony Bose Yukon Jack when it came out 9 years ago. I was not about to pay $350 for a Case. I waited and recently found it at a gun show the knife for $225. I finally decided I had to have it. I thought it was a great price, even then, at the show I checked the internet from my phone to confirm I couldn't buy it elsewhere for less.

Maybe I am an exception to the rule, but many people in this thread seem to buy what they like and also know fair value.


+1

It's too simplistic to just dump knife buyers into 2 broad categories of either investors or BWIL and say one lot know what they are doing while they others bounce around without a clue.

If I had to start out in life again tomorrow and was told to pick an "investment: from which I could make money knives would not be the one. If on the other hand I was told to pick a fun hobby then knives are it. We all have different motivations and reasons for collecting knives and that's OK.

It just pisses me off a little that I would be made to feel somehow lesser than others simply because I choose to take a less serious line on my hobby.
 
HI Giant

This comment sounds like a generalisation to me!! You seem adamant that only BWIL guys will winge. I don't / won't accept that. It's too broad a statement.

Those who look at knives with at least an inkling of what goes on past their purchase....may complain. However, they knew that their knife might not hold it's value.

As I have stated before, I don't care what criteria you use to put together "Your Collection".

Just remember you don't get to whine about it when you try to sell or trade the knife.

As for picking something else as an investment.

You get to belong to another club...the I don't really understand custom knives as investments.

In writing by an attorney I will guarantee you a 10% return on your investment in custom knives. Now you choose the amount you would like to give me and we will go from there.

Now before you jump and say on $1,000 that is only $100. Fine, give me $100,000 and you will make $10,000.

Oh, before some of you roll yours eyes again....name me one other investment that will guarantee you in writing a 10% return on your money.

I will put my money where my mouth is...how about the rest of you???
 
Brightred:

utter nonsense from another self-proclaimed pope.

I see your take on world religions is about the same as knives.

Pope's are elected by the College of Cardinals.

Specifically: Once a Cardinal has received the required number of votes, the Dean of the College of Cardinals asks him if he accepts election and by what name he wishes to be called as Pope. On giving assent, the Cardinal immediately becomes Pontifex Maximus, the Holy Roman Pontiff. In the unlikely event that the Cardinal chosen is not yet a bishop, the most senior Cardinal present (the Dean or Sub-Dean usually) immediately performs the ceremony to consecrate the new Pope as a bishop.

As I pointed out to Giant, my opinions are not based on self-proclamation.
 
I don't think that anyone that buys a knife (or anything else) with the intent to resell it is really a collector. Maybe an investor, but to my mind, a collector collects things and keeps them.
 
I have been collecting custom knives for over twenty years. I never sold a custom knife until last year. When I first started I bought based just on what I liked with no thought of resale value.

Along time ago I read an article by Bernard Levine which basically said to make money in custom knives you should buy knives and turn them over quickly for a profit. To me this is a knife investor.

As I learned more about custom knives, I also learned that knives by some makers hold their value better than knives by other makers.

When I buy a knife the most important thing is the knife itself, but I consider who the maker is and his position in the knife community. I don't consider myself a knife investor, but I have no problem at all if the knives that I choose to collect hold or increase their value. This is a factor in my buying a knife. If it is to be a user, this is less of a consideration.

I still "buy what I like"but I also think about what I buy and hope that it will maintain value.

Jim Treacy
 
Hi David:

Im trying to figure out exactly what is being said here. Certainly there are investment-grade makers and ones that will not guarantee a ROI. The "buy what you like" types are getting pounded here as being flippant and reckless in their purchases since they don't spend time doing research on each purchase they make to ensure they don't "lose" money. I am missing exactly how a maker can become a "good investment" without these reckless BWIL collectors discovering them?

I am not pounding the BWIL club members for being flippant and reckless. I am pointing out, that they pound their chests and proclaim the reason for their purchase is I BUY WHAT I LIKE!!!! Then these will be the first people to throw a tantrum when they go to sell or trade a knife. Because others don't appreciate the craftsmanship, the materials used, etc.

I and I alone are pointing out this "disorder" primarily because I have grown tired over the years of being yelled at, cursed at, told I don't know what I am doing, etc. By members of this club. By doing so, much like with pointing out that Randall's and Chris Reeve knives are not customs. That Mokume, Giraffe bone, jigged bone (except on replica pieces), brass and nickel silver (except where called for primarily for historic accuracy), are trends, fads, etc. These knives will not hold their value over time, because of this fact.

By pointing out these facts, I no longer have people try to sell and/or trade me Randall's, Chris Reeve Knives, other factory knives and any kind of knife with the aforementioned materials.

Is the demand for "investment-class" makers' knives mainly due to the fact that you can make money off buying and reselling those knives or the fact that the knives are what is in demand because people "like" them or have "liked" them regardless of their potential resale value?

Excellent question. The majority of Investment Grade knives are currently in the "arbitrage" category. That is to say

1) go to a show
2) enter a drawing
3) win the drawing
4) pay the maker
5) resell the knife for a profit almost immediately.

The other scenario:

1) buy a knife from a maker who is hot on a particular forum,
2) Sell the knife for a profit...depending on how long you can wait.

Then there are the long term investments. Let's face it even back in the mid-80's before I became a "Pope" :D I knew that someone like Buster Warenski was just an incredible maker...his work would continue to be viewed as an "investment" quality knife for decades to come.

Generally this is why most people don't consider custom knives as investments. As it can take a decade before someone becomes an overnight sensation. Due directly to the Internet, this time frame has been shortened immeasurably.


I am missing exactly how a maker can become a "good investment" without these reckless BWIL collectors discovering them?

Another excellent question.

In theory the ability to spot a potential "investment grade" maker very early on would be a great asset.

The true diamonds in the rough are those who have the combination of:

1) Talent
2) Correct Pricing
3) Some degree of business acumen.
4) Ability to accept constructive criticism.....and implement those suggestions

Number 1 most people can see.

However, starting with number 2...some homework has to have been done or needs to be done.

So while supply and demand is a basic law of economics. A new take on this is called Demand and Supply. Utilizing different marketing types and styles can create a demand and then the supply is created to meet that demand.

Here is a case where a little homework can aid the BWIL buyer can improve their chances of a knife gaining in value.

You visit a makers table at a show the maker has 3 folders on the table all exactly the same except for:

Knife Number 1 has Mother of Pearl Scales.

Knife Number 2 has Gold Lip Pearl Scales

Knife Number 3 has Black Lip Pearl Scales.

All three are the same price.

Which knife do you buy and why?
 
Hi David,

I'll put this out for you and anyone else interested.

I am missing exactly how a maker can become a "good investment" without these reckless BWIL collectors discovering them?

If you make it to the Blade Show, stop by Room 110 Saturday 1:30 p.m.
For the seminar titled:

Keys To Custom Knife Value Appreciation— Les Robertson & Bob Neal

50 years experience in custom knives...if we don't know the answer...We'll make it up! :D :D
 
I'd buy the folder with MOP scales Les. Here's why: I like the look of MOP and if I ever wanted to sell the knife I think the pool of potential buyers would be larger for MOP than gold lip or black lip. I consider myself a "buy what I can afford" collector and want my knives to at least hold their value if not appreciate in value. Homework is essential.
 
If it is great or very good blacklip, go with that all day long....while I love White MOP, it seems to ride a higher than average wave of fashionable peaks and valleys. Blacklip ALWAYS seems highly desireable.

That said, you buy the one without any cracks or chips, the one with the greatest amount of fire and color.

Best Regards,

STeven Garsson
 
Hi Martin,

You need to do a little more homework. :D


Hi STeven,

You are on the right track...but not a complete answer...yet.

Anyone else???
 
I would buy the gold lip, because I like the way it looks and because I don't see it that much. The value is only it's intrinsic value to me. Since I will never sell it, as long as it brings me joy, the value remains. Isn't that what collecting is all about?
 
Hi G,

Im sorry I should have made it clear that is was not for those people who are never going to sell their knives. As you are right it makes no difference to you.

Although it may make a difference to your family or whoever you leave the knives to. Perhaps they will be in a position where getting the most for a particular knife would benefit them.
 
Hi G,

Im sorry I should have made it clear that is was not for those people who are never going to sell their knives. As you are right it makes no difference to you.

Although it may make a difference to your family or whoever you leave the knives to. Perhaps they will be in a position where getting the most for a particular knife would benefit them.

Yes, I understand. I also understand that some people buy knowing they will sell, or planning to sell in the future.

These folks are investors, and investment strategy is different than collection strategy. They have different things that they consider important.

As long as whoever is buying is happy with their purchase, for whatever the reason, that is really all that matters. It seems to me, though, that the more successful a maker is, the more the value of his knives goes up. A guy may make the best knife ever, but if he makes only one, there is no market, and therefore no value to an investor.

Which material would you buy?
 
Blacklip is way prettier to me then the other two. However I bet white MOP is always in demand if its good because its a classic. Les I would like to know your answer to the pearl question. I would snap up anything with good black lip in a heartbeat as the knife I own with it looks amazing.
 
Hi G,

What I have found out over the last 25 years is that very very very few collectors never ever sell or trade a knife out of their collection.

The general ebb and flow of collecting leads to most collectors changing direction.

This may be a completely different style of knife (going from folder to fixed)

This may be a person who wants to upgrade their collection.

Many collectors find it easier to move a knife or two out of their collection to go in a different direction or upgrade to help defray these move(s). In lieu of going to the wallet again and again.

As for the answer to my question. As you pointed out as far as you are concerned it doesn't matter. :D
 
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