Custom Knives – Where in Five Years?

I don't believe that it's necessarily only the stock removal makers that hold provenance over the use of automated machinery and the outsourcing of parts.
With a collection that's currently 50% forged-50% stock removal, I vote for "truth in packaging." Then as a collector you can truly make an informed decision as to the knives you may want to add to your collection.
 
• Do you believe the popularity of Stock Removal knives will continue to rise at the last five year’s pace?

• Do you believe stock removal prices will continue to rise at last 5 year's pace?

Question 1 - As a percentage of knives purchased, I think that forged knives are increasing in popularity more than stock removal knives are, but I do think that stock removal knives will continue be very popular, because most people want stainless knives.

Question 2 - Tough to say, but I think the more popular makers' knives will continue to go up at the current pace.
 
The stock remaval method lends itself to the use of automated machines more than forging does. I don't know of any CNC forges that are on the market. I suppose that Bladesmiths could use automated machines for the making of scales and milling holes and such.

If you consider knives where the steel is forged into a standard bar stock and then ground from there to be forged knives, then I guess you could use automated processes to do everything involved.
 
CNC is to stock removal as a power hammer is to forged.

Coop
 
For every bunch of new makers, some percentage of old and new makers crash and burn in GBU.

There's no mention of new knife styles which seem to appear then recede, who know what the next style will be but it will open up a new category for makers and collectors.

I agree that the national economy will be a factor, I'd think non US collectors and buyers will grow faster then US based
 
CNC is to stock removal as a power hammer is to forged.

Coop
Nah........you don't have to hold on to the blank when you use a CNC setup:D With a power hammer or a press, you still have to hold and guide the steel and vary the force of the blow. I think a not-much-better analogy would be that going from a hand hammer and anvil to a power hammer or press is like going from files and sandpaper to a KMG. It sure speeds up the process, but your hands and Mod 1 calibrated eyeballs are still determining whether the knife goes to a customer or to the dump:thumbup:
 
For something to be compared to CNC there has to be a computer involved. Do you know of any Computer Numerically Controlled power hammers?


Plus, you would need some flames shooting out of the computer!! :eek: :D


Z5Hotlongandlean.jpg


- Joe
 
I think a not-much-better analogy would be that going from a hand hammer and anvil to a power hammer or press is like going from files and sandpaper to a KMG.
OK. That's probably a closer analogy.

The reason I tossed that in there was a comment that in five years the majority of stock removal knives may involve CNC. Kevin, was that you? ;)

I thought that absurd and wanted to counter with something equally preposterous. I think I did.

Keith, on a MUCH larger scale, I would imagine (hope?) all the steel manufacturing plants 'forge' the barstock with computers involved. Not so far fetched.

Coop
 
Mike, the fact remains that many stock removal knives are made by automated machinery. And in the next 5 years perhaps the majority will be.

OK. That's probably a closer analogy.

The reason I tossed that in there was a comment that in five years the majority of stock removal knives may involve CNC. Kevin, was that you? ;)

I thought that absurd and wanted to counter with something equally preposterous. I think I did.
Coop

First of all Coop, you miss quoted me as I stated that perhaps the majority (over half) of stock removal knives would be made from automated machinery (not just CNC machines) in the next 5 years. ;)

Second, I think my statement not preposterous at all.
As I believe (including folders) that many more stock removal knives utilize machine made components today than you may realize.

And as sophisticated machinery (laser, milling and CNC machines) drop in price as all new technology eventually does and manufacturing facilities upgrade, these companies and particularly leasing companies, will be dumping today's examples at very affordable prices. Even the medium sized stock removal makers will start seeing these machines as wise investments in enabling them to increase their production.

Look at the quantity of integrals some stock removal makers are producing today. Do you think all these guys are standing over a belt grinder for 18 hours a day? :confused:
 
First of all Coop, you miss quoted me as I stated that perhaps the majority (over half) of stock removal knives would be made from automated machinery (not just CNC machines) in the next 5 years. ;)

Second, I think my statement not preposterous at all.
As I believe (including folders) that many more stock removal knives utilize machine made components today than you may realize.

And as sophisticated machinery (laser, milling and CNC machines) drop in price as all new technology eventually does and manufacturing facilities upgrade, these companies and specifically leasing companies, will be dumping today's examples at very affordable prices. Even the medium sized stock removal makers will start seeing these machines as wise investments in enabling them to increase their production.

Look at the quantity of integrals some stock removal makers are producing today. Do you think all these guys are standing over a belt grinder for 18 hours a day? :confused:

I would consider using a mill with a CNC kit for doing the plunge cuts on an integral. Especially if it was a full tang knife. But I would still forge out the blade and tang:D
 
Why Coop...You Mad Cap!

Next you will be telling me that ABS makers use a hydraulic press to create patterns in Damascus!

Say it ain't so Joe!

You know alot of the "new fangled" machines have electrical type plugs coming out of.

Things, like grinders, drill presses, milling machines, end mills, lathes, belt sanders, and such.

So much for that "hand made" thing. Seems like everyone is using machines to create knives these days. Except maybe those Flint Knappers!

Been a long time since knives were "hand made".

Then again, you could call it what it really is "precision made craftsmanship"

No matter what "tools" are being used. It takes the talent, eye for design, physical ability and strive for perfection to create anything.

I always found it interesting how a major knife maker organization found fault with those maker who outsourced the making for a blank or frame. Yet had no problem with a maker outsourcing the heat treating of their blades.

If a knife maker can't heat treat their own blades...can they really make a knife? Well a knife that cuts that is.

That same organization insisted that those makers who outsourced parts only bring knives that they made in their shop. How did that work out for that organization....Not Too Good. Matter of fact they issued a "Mea Culpa" this year and welcomed back all of those makers. Actually they have doing this behind the scenes for the last year or so with phone calls to individual makers . Letting them know that they would be "Grand Fathered" if they wanted to join back up. Too little Too late? We shall see.

Ultimately it is the end result that is judged by the buyer.

If the makers are honest with what machines (inside and outside the shop) were used and the buyer is happy with that. So be it.

Kevin, you may not think the Trip Hammer is the equivalent to a CNC machine. However, don't you think this one machine would have provided a huge advantage over merely a hammer and anvil? I think you would agree that by using a "little giant" that makers could make more knives, more consistently with better quality quicker. This of course would help keep cost down, allow the maker to create more knives at the same time lowering the price. This of course would allow more buyers into the market...expanding the market allowing more makers and subsequently more collectors....well you get the idea.

It is the makers who "Think Outside The Box" both with design and ways to create these knives. Have driven the market the last 10 years...and will continue to drive the market for the next Five years.

It was those makers who thought outside the box, utilizing "industrial" technology (kinda like the Little Giants). Who made it possible for the factories to capitalize on their R&D and brought custom designs to the masses. This of course led to many of these buyers becoming custom knife buyers. First with those whose names they recognized and then spreading out to other makers.

In the next 5 years new makers will learn and improve at even a quicker pace.
Many who will not embrace the new technology will try to penalize those who use it. See above example of an organization that did that. As it is always easier to try and get others to lower their standards as it is for some to raise their standards.

The collectors, especially the new ones are going to gravitate to "Cool" at a good price point. Most of the world are not machinist or artists. As his been stated here over and over again the mantra of the collector...I buy what I like!

These collectors, especially the new ones will find these makers not at shows so much...but on the Internet. The largest factor driving this will be convenience. Doesn't mean shows are dead I don't think they ever will be.

However, the amount of makers being introduced on a monthly base is greater than the number of collectors needed to support them at a decent part time level.

In the next five years there will be a "Market Correction" especially on the forged side of the house. You will see many "established" makers selling fewer and fewer knives.

Kevin, look at the talent that got their MS Stamps this year. Just Jason, John and Don...these are the Newbie MS makers. Oh by the way it was me that pointed out to Peter that John White won the Moran Award with a JS knife. Not sure if that has happened before. That is no doubt a harbinger for things to come. Take a peek at the list of makers going for MS for the next 3 - 5 years.

Quality work, value pricing, understanding of business principles, utilization of the Internet, diversity in materials and designs. Combine this with award winning knives and the majority of the forged blade press. The next 5 years is here right now!

WWG
 
I think WWG has summed it up well. Guys, this is a subject that is just about dead with most makers. both Forgers and stock removal makers. We really don't care! We make our knives the way we do because it is the way we want to make them.

Kevin, there has been forging going on in factory settings for over a century. Just take a look at the past efforts of Sheffield England. Solingen Germany has been mixing both forging and stock removal for their knives for a very long time. Most forgers, with the exception of a very few, forge, then stock remove. It is the way a knife is made in most shops. Well mostly anyway. I know of at least one forger who has CNC, and EDM in his shop. Are the blades any less forged? I have neither in my shop. My loss. I'm just old fashion I guess.

One of the best known forgers of this century was Bo Randal. Many of his models were forged to shape, then ground. Many of them were hollow ground.) Oh! the Sacrilege!!! The ABS wouldn't like that). Which is a lot of the point. A lot of the feeling I am hearing from the collectors, such as those here on the forums, comes from advertising hype. If many of you actually came to our shops as witnessed just how we make a knife, much of this argument would be over very quickly. Like I said. It has been over between the makers for the most part for years. We discuss fitting and finish techniques. Sharpening techniques, an other technical areas of knife making. Not the Black arts myths and nostalgia parts of it. We leave this part to the collectors. Although the profit it generates is welcome!

The things we do are more alike than different. It goes something like this. Forger- Take a piece of steel of proper alloy. Heat and forge it to a satiable shape for the knife desired. Take said piece of forged steel to the grinder and refine (Stock remove) the profile and shape. Grind the bevels further, Flat Hollow, Convex. Heat treat, back to the grinder. Further refinement. Fit the parts in their proper alignment and fit, and back to the grinder to make everything come together. Stock removal-Take a piece of steel of the proper alloy that has been press and roll forged to the proper thickness from the foundry. Take it to the grinder and profile the desired outline. Grind in the bevels. Flat, hollow, convex. Heat treat. Back to the grinder for further refinement. Fit the parts in their proper alignment and fit. Back to the grinder to make ever thing come together!


NCC. Water Jet, Laser, EDAM. These are separate issues. They can be used by either craftsman. Or not. I choose not. Because of this, I will die poor! But I will remain true to what I want my knives to represent. No doubt, to wwg, I appear a fool. One great thing about being a fool. We're too foolish to know how bad we have it. Haa!! I live in bliss!!!

All jokes aside, Randall did a fine job in his day. He built a business to be proud of. What I don't under stand is, with all the Randall accomplishments, and fame. Any where the Randall name is brought up, some one always points out-"Randal's aren't real Customs- or hand made". I see this on the forums, in books, magazine articles and hear it at shows.The Randal facility is almost always referred to as a small factory. Why. Yes I know the Randall story. And I think it is one to be proud of. But I got in serious trouble on one of the forums a year ago by trying to help out a customer of a well known maker. The maker employee's quite a few workers. And they do a fine job. My mistake was telling the customer to contact the factory. " Oh, If i had just said facility", I would have been saved a lot of grief. Seems that what I said was a huge insult. What is a compliment to Randal, Is an insult to another. What I am trying to say here, is that there is a hell of a lot more going on in the Knife Business than whether a hammer or ram smacked a piece of steel.
 
I think WWG has summed it up well. Guys, this is a subject that is just about dead with most makers. both Forgers and stock removal makers. We really don't care! We make our knives the way we do because it is the way we want to make them.

Well Mike you are fortunate in that you have an eight year back log of orders. Many makers have to make knives the way the paying customer want them to.

IMO, its fine for makers to utilize automated machinery to produce their knives, however their needs to be disclosure if in fact the maker is just setting the program for the machine to form the knife rather than grinding himself.


Kevin, there has been forging going on in factory settings for over a century. Just take a look at the past efforts of Sheffield England. Solingen Germany has been mixing both forging and stock removal for their knives for a very long time. Most forgers, with the exception of a very few, forge, then stock remove. It is the way a knife is made in most shops. Well mostly anyway. I know of at least one forger who has CNC, and EDM in his shop. Are the blades any less forged? I have neither in my shop. My loss. I'm just old fashion I guess.

One of the best known forgers of this century was Bo Randal. Many of his models were forged to shape, then ground. Many of them were hollow ground.) Oh! the Sacrilege!!! The ABS wouldn't like that). Which is a lot of the point. A lot of the feeling I am hearing from the collectors, such as those here on the forums, comes from advertising hype. If many of you actually came to our shops as witnessed just how we make a knife, much of this argument would be over very quickly. Like I said. It has been over between the makers for the most part for years. We discuss fitting and finish techniques. Sharpening techniques, an other technical areas of knife making. Not the Black arts myths and nostalgia parts of it. We leave this part to the collectors. Although the profit it generates is welcome!

I agree collectors should visit maker's shops it is a positive and worthwhile experience for both collector and maker.

The things we do are more alike than different. It goes something like this. Forger- Take a piece of steel of proper alloy. Heat and forge it to a satiable shape for the knife desired. Take said piece of forged steel to the grinder and refine (Stock remove) the profile and shape. Grind the bevels further, Flat Hollow, Convex. Heat treat, back to the grinder. Further refinement. Fit the parts in their proper alignment and fit, and back to the grinder to make everything come together. Stock removal-Take a piece of steel of the proper alloy that has been press and roll forged to the proper thickness from the foundry. Take it to the grinder and profile the desired outline. Grind in the bevels. Flat, hollow, convex. Heat treat. Back to the grinder for further refinement. Fit the parts in their proper alignment and fit. Back to the grinder to make ever thing come together!


NCC. Water Jet, Laser, EDAM. These are separate issues. They can be used by either craftsman. Or not. I choose not. Because of this, I will die poor! But I will remain true to what I want my knives to represent. No doubt, to wwg, I appear a fool. One great thing about being a fool. We're too foolish to know how bad we have it. Haa!! I live in bliss!!!

All jokes aside, Randall did a fine job in his day. He built a business to be proud of. What I don't under stand is, with all the Randall accomplishments, and fame. Any where the Randall name is brought up, some one always points out-"Randal's aren't real Customs- or hand made". I see this on the forums, in books, magazine articles and hear it at shows.The Randal facility is almost always referred to as a small factory. Why. Yes I know the Randall story. And I think it is one to be proud of. But I got in serious trouble on one of the forums a year ago by trying to help out a customer of a well known maker. The maker employee's quite a few workers. And they do a fine job. My mistake was telling the customer to contact the factory. " Oh, If i had just said facility", I would have been saved a lot of grief. Seems that what I said was a huge insult. What is a compliment to Randal, Is an insult to another. What I am trying to say here, is that there is a hell of a lot more going on in the Knife Business than whether a hammer or ram smacked a piece of steel.

The biggest think separating the two camps now days is selection. I'll get blasted for this, but I can spot a forged knife for the most part instantly. Why? Does forging make a knife look different? NO! But the modern forged knife has taken on a certain look. This is all fine and good, but it has narrowed the scope of the makers to a large extent. In the Stock removal circles the sky in the limit on design. There is no end to the styles. From the sublime to the wild and even totally ridiculous. In order to capture a larger segment to the market, More has to be offered. The same old-same old won't get it for ever. I am a bit confused by the required look in the first place. Remember the Randall's. You had to check the marking on the logo to tell if it was stock removal stainless, or forged, and stock removal Hi-carbon. and O'l Bo was around a lot of years before any one ever heard of the ABS. Mike

I agree that the forged knife of recent years has taken on a certain look, however I'm starting to see some refreshing designs, techniques and creative use of material and embellishment. Perhaps we are at the beginning of the Renaissance of the forged knife.

Again, I agree that the stock removal process does lend itself to flexible designs and styles, thus I'm confused as to why yourself and the other dozen or so makers that follow the Loveless designs practically exclusively don't tap your own creativity more. I have seen some of your early knives which designs are quite good in their own right.


Thanks Mike and WWG for your informed and knowledgeable input to this thread.
 
Again, I agree that the stock removal process does lend itself to flexible designs and styles, thus I'm confused as to why yourself and the other dozen or so makers that follow the Loveless designs practically exclusively don't tap your own creativity more. I have seen some of your early knives which designs are quite good.

Kevin, there are hundreds of makers of Loveless style knives. There are probably 50 in Japan alone.

Maker's really shouldn't mess around with the Loveless patterns and for good reason-Bob Loveless is probably the most talented fixed blade knife designer that ever lived and most of his pattern's cannot really be improved to any great degree. If you like stainless, hollow ground knives there are really no better designs than his. After you handle a few dozen of his designs you can really appreciate the human engineering and thought that wen't into each and every one.

I would suggest "Logos of the Loveless Legend" for further reading.
 
Kevin, there are hundreds of makers of Loveless style knives. There are probably 50 in Japan alone.

Maker's really shouldn't mess around with the Loveless patterns and for good reason-Bob Loveless is probably the most talented fixed blade knife designer that ever lived and most of his pattern's cannot really be improved to any great degree. If you like stainless, hollow ground knives there are really no better designs than his. After you handle a few dozen of his designs you can really appreciate the human engineering and thought that wen't into each and every one.

I would suggest "Logos of the Loveless Legend" for further reading.

I was speaking of Mike's non-Loveless style designs. I think most got the point I was trying to get across.
 
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