Hi Kevin,
Anthony is probably right, it is more than 90% I was just being generous with that number.
Ok Kevin, Im going to give you 80% of the knives that still means that if 100,000 custom knives are made every year...that 20,000 of them sell at retail for $1,000 or more each. Over the course of 10 years that would be 200,000 $1000+ knives made in that time frame. Over the last 24 years that would mean there are almost 1/2 a million $1,000 knives in the world.
Remember, about 70% of all those Loveless knives out there originally sold for under $1,000. Many of the Morans also sold for less than $1,000.
Now Im talking maker retail price...not some of those with hefty after market prices.
Boguszewski
Onion
Mayo
Emerson
Carson
Most of these makers works are selling for well over $1,000...but that is not retail.
Lake
Walker
Every knife is well over $1,000...but they only build maybe 20 a year between them
Now compare that to any two of the makers above. Hell, pick one maker. Now multiply that for at least 15 years.
On the ABS Side of the house...how many makers can actually command $1,000 for a knife...now compare that to every maker who can't.
Hancock, Feugen, Fogg, Newton and maybe 15 more in the entire ABS consistently sell each knife for $1,000 +. At this price range how many knives do they make a year? Most of these will have to have some Damascus and possibly some engraving. Which will cut into the amount of knives a smith can forge.
Lets say there are 100 members of the ABS who can get $1,000 or more on every knife they make. I believe Burt posted on the CKCA email that there were some 1,600 members. Lets say 300 of those are "associate" type members. That means only 8% of the knives being sold by ABS makers are $1,000 plus. Again, I believe the 100 members who can get $1,000 for each knife is a little high.
If you took every high end collector world wide and put added up their knives that they bought that originally retailed for over $1,000. I doubt you would come up with 10,000 knives.
Kevin there is no definitive documentation to prove that 90% of all the knives over the last 20 years sold for under $1,000. But using statistical analysis with a +/- of 3% I would have to say I am very close with the 90% figure.
There is a reason that for sheer numbers Saturn will outsell Porsche every year.
Les Robertson
Custom Knife Entrepreneur
www.robertsoncustomcutlery.com