Random Thought Thread

Nathan the Machinist said:
Here's my random thought for the day

Apparently, there are more ways to shuffle a deck of 52 cards than there are atoms in this galaxy.

So, even though it's physically possible to shuffle a deck of cards twice and get the same order, statistically speaking it's essentially impossible that there has ever been two decks of cards shuffled in the same order.

This is a great example of something that is physically possible but will never happen. Not in a million billion years.

I wonder if the odds of developing intelligent life capable of leaving a planet are similar odds?

I've always assumed there's other intelligent life in the galaxy.

But maybe that was a bad assumption?
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There are 4.6x10^68 atoms in the galaxy and 52*51*50*...*2*1 = 8.1x10^67 ways to shuffle a deck. Kind of close, but there are 5 times more atoms!
 
beeinak said:
View attachment 2685549
Tell me that one on the left isn’t debating at what point to drop across the trail! 🤣
Cutting it down Thursday on my way to cabin.
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Need to borrow an axe?

V0sB64q.jpeg
 
Nathan the Machinist said:
Here's my random thought for the day

Apparently, there are more ways to shuffle a deck of 52 cards than there are atoms in this galaxy.

So, even though it's physically possible to shuffle a deck of cards twice and get the same order, statistically speaking it's essentially impossible that there has ever been two decks of cards shuffled in the same order.

This is a great example of something that is physically possible but will never happen. Not in a million billion years.

I wonder if the odds of developing intelligent life capable of leaving a planet are similar odds?

I've always assumed there's other intelligent life in the galaxy.

But maybe that was a bad assumption?
Click to expand...
Glad to see you have an open mind 👍
 
beeinak said:
🤣 Can you imagine a preorder for the axe?!

I admit I will be cheating and using my trusty ms362 saw, and likely limb with my ms261. I love those saws. I have 8 chainsaws but those 2 are my favorites.
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I don't even want to think about it. I just hope if it happens I'm able to get one. I've been a pest about a cpk axe for a bit and would love to own (and use ffs) one.
 
Nathan the Machinist said:
I wonder if the odds of developing intelligent life capable of leaving a planet are similar odds?

I've always assumed there's other intelligent life in the galaxy.

But maybe that was a bad assumption?
Click to expand...

In 1961, astronomer and astrophysicist Dr. Frank Drake in collaboration with see other astronomers (NASA & SETI Institute) came up with Drake's Equation. This equation has been worked on, tweaked and tuned numerously since then. If we are discussing present tense (you said that there's...) considering the age of the observable Universe as compared to the life expectancy of any super-hyper intelligent organic species (let's assume the discovery of the atom as the minimum benchmark), I personally think that the chances of the Universe teeming with intelligent life to be far less than what Drake's Equation proposes. By the same token, I think that the chances of artificial intelligent lifeforms to exist simultaneously to be more probable than such life in organic forms.
 
Nathan the Machinist said:
Here's my random thought for the day

Apparently, there are more ways to shuffle a deck of 52 cards than there are atoms in this galaxy.

So, even though it's physically possible to shuffle a deck of cards twice and get the same order, statistically speaking it's essentially impossible that there has ever been two decks of cards shuffled in the same order.

This is a great example of something that is physically possible but will never happen. Not in a million billion years.

I wonder if the odds of developing intelligent life capable of leaving a planet are similar odds?

I've always assumed there's other intelligent life in the galaxy.

But maybe that was a bad assumption?
Click to expand...
This problem is similar to the famous birthday problem, i.e. the probability that a room with n people has at least one pair with a matching birthdate. The probability of at least one pair in n shuffled decks matching is 1-52!!/(52!^n (52!-n)!). So humanity would need to shuffle about 10^34 decks before it's more likely than not that two of them match.

However, all this assumes that deck shuffling is perfectly random, when it definitely isn't. Since the technique for shuffling a deck is similar among many people, and many shuffles start from an unopened deck in the same order, the same shuffled deck has been found numerous times. Here's one famous example:

 
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Synov said:
However, all this assumes that deck shuffling is perfectly random, when it definitely isn't.
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A casino’s good friend became the “continuous shuffler” so that discards every 10-15 rounds of play are fed back in rather than waiting until the whole shoe needed to be shuffled.

Of course any respecting card player wouldn’t play at a table with an automatic shuffler anyway.
 
Murphjd25 said:
👍🏻🤞🏻

Did you add any options to it? XLT?
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You kidding me?

I make knives for a living

Base model XL, bare bones mostly

I did get the running board thingy because Jo is incredibly short

I got the fifth wheel setup for pulling the goosenecks

I got the high output 6.7 powerstroke because I tow heavy

The only "luxury" I added was cloth seats because the plastic stock seats make my soul hurt.

They come with four-wheel drive now mostly which is good because I store my trailers in a field which can be a problem when it's wet. So I got the off-road package because it has a locking differential, that way I can slide down the side of my hill sideways instead of getting stuck.
 
Hatchet_Jack said:
Nice 🙂

Post up your results, I’m keen to hear how you go.

In my state we have no weapon specific seasons and no restrictions on optics for deer other than no thermals. I’m still stupid enough to hunt with open sight flintlocks…go figure!
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FYI, details posted here. It was a successful hunt, for me at least.
 
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