Random Thought Thread

Hate scambags like this... showing how to fix loosened saya (scabbard) and completely swaps enitre sword at 6:51.. most bad thing is that this wizard charges people for various jobs at his site lol.. and askws not cheap lol.. for example for tsukaito (wrapping tsuka(handle) with special cord) for 150$ and + yoy have to pay for ito(cord) and many other jobs he does, can say al.osy every job of fixing and costumization of blades... people like him should be punished..

What kind of sorcery is at 6:51 please tell me lol...

 
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1AbominAble1 said:
5 boys! I feel sorry for your bank account!
I only have 2 boys and a girl and the grocery bill is extreme. My little lady barely eats but the 12 and 9 year old boys don’t ever stop, I couldn’t imagine feeding 3 more of them. With 5 hungry boys I’d be afraid to go to sleep for fear that I’d wake up turning on a spit covered in BBQ sauce.
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Ha yes they're very hungry. An hour after a huge meal they're looking for another.
Your daughter has two big brothers to watch over her. That's nice.
 
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I don’t personally know anyone who was killed by an animal, or killed in WWII or the American Revolution or in any other historical context. Yet I don't doubt that real people have really died in those and many other circumstances. I frequently rely upon common sense and believe it necessary to assume that real things take place in the world outside of my own personal experience. I consider this to be one of the prerequisites of consciousness, the kind of thing that separates humans from animals. It is a keystone of the collective knowledge of mankind and the development and progress of our species. Also, denial is not just a river in Egypt, it is a stage of grief, and if you force yourself to remain in a state of denial you're not just denying the fact of whatever the source of your grief is, but also denying yourself the opportunity to move past your grief and move on to acceptance and to resume rational informed decision making for the betterment of yourself and your family. Just a few random thoughts that randomly occurred to me today.
 
Ww2 and animal attacks aren't being actively used to spread fear.

Just because you're TOLD something IS, doesn't mean that it is.

If ZERO people know someone who's died from this personally, then I'm guessing it's all hype.

UNLIKE animal attacks and ww2, where you would know SOMEONE statistically who at least knows someone who has been affected by them.

If there's no lime disease with my Corona virus I want none thanks.
 
tinfoil hat timmy said:
Ww2 and animal attacks aren't being actively used to spread fear.

Just because you're TOLD something IS, doesn't mean that it is.

If ZERO people know someone who's died from this personally, then I'm guessing it's all hype.

UNLIKE animal attacks and ww2, where you would know SOMEONE statistically who at least knows someone who has been affected by them.

If there's no lime disease with my Corona virus I want none thanks.
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You don't know people because its very early on in the timeline of infection. If you don't believe it's a problem that's your choice. But if you're wrong and somebody hasn't prepared because they listened to you that's a terrible thing.
If someone listens to me and I'm wrong the worst case is they have some extra supplies and stayed in when they had symptoms
 
TFH-Timmy, we're a closely knit group in here and watch out for each other because I believe that how we behave in here and how we are expected to behave in here, has a reflection on CPK and vice versa. Every now and then, some of us just stir the pot a little bit (yours truly is one main culprit) for pure entertainment purposes to bring color to phases of dullness and lull.

You have recently been injecting some really left field material which is congruent with your chosen moniker but I am not sure as to whether that trait is serious or just something which a TFHT would say in the cyber-sphere. Again all the flat Earth stuff and the general denial of some long running scientific facts, in the absence of your own personal experience and verification by yourself, can at times be construed as just par for the course with someone who nicknames himself TFHT.

I think that with this new tilt of yours in here regarding Covid-19, you are stepping over a line which you should perhaps be more careful about when crossing. People are on the edge, full of angst and apprehensive. Respectfully speaking, this material really belongs in the PA or perhaps W&C. Nathan had said in the past that you're a good dude and I'll go by the Boss's validation of your online character. I get the advocacy for remaining calm and refraining from panicking but maybe you ought to also take your foot off the conspiratorial gas pedal WRT this Virus and just ease back bud.
 
Regardless of the ratio of fact:fiction anyone cares to argue, the effects that the virus is having on our economy and society is real and undeniable...

Stuff is getting shut down and cancelled left, right, and center in Nashville...as most of you guys know, tourism is HUGE in Tennessee.

I'm not fearful of catching it and having my body build immunity naturally. But I fear my 90 year old Auntie wouldn't fare as well, or my next door neighbors.

So for their sakes, I'm ok with complying with guidelines to keeping the community health out of the crisis zone as much as possible from my individual responsibility.
 
untytled said:
Be prepared without overreacting. Forgo the short term pleasure to reduce the odds of becoming a vector during a time when it's important to flatten the curve. We're not hear thinking just about ourselves...
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I may use the lull time on my hands to finally do some CPK maintenance and dare I say it, do some in-house gunsmithing :eek:
 
over my many years here in the forum, I've only put a handful of people on ignore.

that said, here is the statement I just released wrt my business during these troubling times;

SMC will be closed as of today, (March 12, 2020) in order to mitigate any potential for this, (more or less) public space to become a nexus for the spread of COVID-19 in our community.

This precautionary measure will come at a financial cost, but our decision is based on the premise that this cost can not be measured against the health and well being of our fellow citizens.

Fortunately, as a small business owner, we can make this choice in order to protect ourselves, our family and our community from a rapidly spreading viral threat.

It's my hope that other people in a similar situation carefully consider this action for themselves. Hopefully our society can come together and battle this virus effectively.
The fact is we can each make a difference.

Until we see where things are going, customers requiring service can make appointments to pick up or drop off their bikes for service either by phone or email in advance.

I will likely be working in the shop during regular hours, but the door will be locked. A knock on the door may or may not be answered, but it doesn't hurt to try if you really need my help.

As sole owner/operator of Sooke Mountain Cycle LTD., the regular flu could take me out for a week or more in which case I'd have to close the shop. I'd rather close the shop as a healthy person, whose family is more or less protected from exposure to this dire viral threat.

Stay safe,
Lorien
 
Lorien, kudos for making proactive choices preemptively.

Flat-earthers notwithstanding, here's a little more info that may help folks make smart choices:
- yes, at this point in time, the overwhelming majority of fatalities have been in the elderly and immunocompromised with comorbidities.

- what folks aren't taking into account is that younger folks absolutely ARE also catching this (SARS-Cov2 attaches to the ACE2 receptors in the lower lungs, which is why it's causing pneumonia in so many patients). WITH adequate medical intervention, the 1 in 5 younger folks who develop severe symptoms are generally strong enough to pull through, but wind up tying up a bed for 3-6 weeks.

- in the US, in total, we have about 900,000 - 1,000,000 beds available. About 90,000 - 100,000 ICU beds. On average, 2/3rds of those beds are already occupied.

- average turnover for one of these beds with standard patients is about 3-6 days. 1 Covid-19 patient occupying a bed for 3-6 weeks puts 7x the strain on the system, and that's not even accounting for the difference between the protocols and PPE required for an infectious disease.

- it won't take that many Covid-19 patients to overwhelm our healthcare system (when each patient is occupying a bed for 7x the average duration), and MANY facilities are experiencing difficulty with sufficient PPE supplies to protect the HCW with.

- some of the recovered have survived, but with damage to the lungs and/or kidneys or liver.

- every person who can take steps to avoid catching this, reduces the burden on the healthcare system, i.e. the 'flattening of the infection curve'.

- This helps tremendously, because if the healthcare system gets overwhelmed, the 15-20% of the infected who develop severe symptoms, start to add to the CFR when they can't get adequate treatment. This will also increase the number of fatalities when patients with severe health issues NOT due to Covid-19, can't get the treatment they need if the facilities are overwhelmed due to Covid-19 patients.

- Italy has reached the point where their healthcare is so overwhelmed, that they are considering triage on their patients, focusing on the younger patients, due to their having a statistically better probability of pulling through with medical attention (and the fact that the younger patients who survive, return to being productive members in society, vs the elderly). Those following the developments may have seen the tweets about deciding to no longer treat older patients.

They're at the point where they're making incredibly hard choices in where to direct their minimal time and resources; to help someone who has a better chance of pulling through, vs expending the time and resources on someone who still might not make it. Don't force the healthcare workers here into that position. It's a TERRIBLE position to be put in, especially under already stressful conditions.

- the folks who wilfully refuse to be prepared rather than take simple steps, are the ones who will cause even more issues if/when they are directly affected.

Stay safe, my CPK family (yes, even the odd ones :p).
 
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fkctrjt121 said:
We have 15 cases within 20 miles and two of those gentlemen have died so far.
One was a monk from a local temple.
There is nothing funny about this. The only people not taking this seriously are the people it hasn't reached yet.
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Keep safe over there, were starting to see a few cases here as well. Hope everyone is sensible and takes precautions.
 
The problem isn’t the virus, it’s the reaction to the threat of the virus. A mob reacting to a firecracker can still crush you. What bluemax_1 wrote above is right.

Self-quarantine hit my department Wednesday night. I thought we might make it to the weekend before something like that would happen but circumstances went otherwise. Entire workplace closed today. It was in the New York Times 10 minutes after I found out so clearly someone upstairs sent the news ahead to “coordinate the messaging.” Fortunately, I started preparing us for this last Friday so the remote workplace switch went fine today. I don’t know anywhere else that wasn’t caught flat by today’s news. Some panic buying but nothing too crazy near me yet. There is plenty of toilet paper but no Purell. Exciting times.
 
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