Random Thought Thread

bluemax_1 said:
snip...

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/im...-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
Click to expand...

OT, because of the link: I applied to the Imperial College of London for undergraduate studies. IC is the most prestigious college within the University of London for sciences & engineering. I know that Oxford & Cambridge are better known names, but IC is really the t*ts when it comes to sciences/engineering.

Anywhooo... I think that my rejection letter went something like this: Eff off you stupid dunce nobody with less than average intellect with your very average grades. Well, not in so many words but to a shy and vulnerable 19 year old back then, that is how it exactly felt :D In retrospect, I didn't deserve it because I am exactly like how I described my younger self :D
 
bluemax_1 said:
There are a few issues with option #2.

1) it's a novel virus very similar to SARS, but as yet, with quite a few unknowns. One of these is the disturbing news of patients who've recovered and survived, but with damage (some possibly permanent) to various vitals like the lungs, kidneys, liver, heart and testicles. Yes, original SARS had the ability to leave some male survivors sterile. It seems there may be a possibility with SARS-Cov2 as well.

2) lasting immunity. We don't know how long the immunity lasts after recovering from this.

Fairly early in the pandemic (Feb) a Japanese woman was hospitalized, sick and testing positive for the SARS-Cov2 virus. She was treated, recovered, then released after finally testing negative on 2 consecutive days. About a week later, she was back in the hospital sick, and once again tested positive for SARS-Cov2.

Was this genuinely a reinfection? A relapse? An error due to false negatives from tests with a low confidence rate? We don't know. What we do know is that unlike some viruses, where after recovery, a healthy person will have permanent immunity, the 4 common hCoVs (human Coronaviruses) that cause about 15% of common colds, do not confer permanent immunity. The immunity only lasts for a few months to about 3 years.

3) letting it burn through as quickly as possible vs flattening the curve: as I've already posted before, with a highly contagious novel virus like this, it spreads like wildfire and can easily overwhelm not just the healthcare system, but every other aspect of our society as well, resulting in the cascading collapse, which results in significantly more damage.

Those who were paying attention might have noticed that early on, Trump appeared to be in the camp to just let it burn to preserve the economy. If you're curious as to what changed his mind (and the UK's, who held out for the 'let it burn' option a little longer than we did, before changing tracks) and where the "2.2 million deaths in the US" came from, here's one of the papers that Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx used to change his mind.

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/im...-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
Click to expand...

Some may find this video interesting and informative. I've watched it already and found it to be not stomach churning. Just a virtual illustration of ARDS that Covid-19 brings to its victims:

 
bluemax_1 said:
There are a few issues with option #2.

1) it's a novel virus very similar to SARS, but as yet, with quite a few unknowns. One of these is the disturbing news of patients who've recovered and survived, but with damage (some possibly permanent) to various vitals like the lungs, kidneys, liver, heart and testicles. Yes, original SARS had the ability to leave some male survivors sterile. It seems there may be a possibility with SARS-Cov2 as well.

2) lasting immunity. We don't know how long the immunity lasts after recovering from this.

Fairly early in the pandemic (Feb) a Japanese woman was hospitalized, sick and testing positive for the SARS-Cov2 virus. She was treated, recovered, then released after finally testing negative on 2 consecutive days. About a week later, she was back in the hospital sick, and once again tested positive for SARS-Cov2.

Was this genuinely a reinfection? A relapse? An error due to false negatives from tests with a low confidence rate? We don't know. What we do know is that unlike some viruses, where after recovery, a healthy person will have permanent immunity, the 4 common hCoVs (human Coronaviruses) that cause about 15% of common colds, do not confer permanent immunity. The immunity only lasts for a few months to about 3 years.

3) letting it burn through as quickly as possible vs flattening the curve: as I've already posted before, with a highly contagious novel virus like this, it spreads like wildfire and can easily overwhelm not just the healthcare system, but every other aspect of our society as well, resulting in the cascading collapse, which results in significantly more damage.

Those who were paying attention might have noticed that early on, Trump appeared to be in the camp to just let it burn to preserve the economy. If you're curious as to what changed his mind (and the UK's, who held out for the 'let it burn' option a little longer than we did, before changing tracks) and where the "2.2 million deaths in the US" came from, here's one of the papers that Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx used to change his mind.

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/im...-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
Click to expand...

Maybe the solution for a vast and diverse country like ours is to keep hitting the gas pedal as the virus’s rate of contagion flattens and then hitting the brakes with the social distancing and shut down methods as this virus comes back / gathers strength, whether seasonal or otherwise.

Imagine being behind a driver who drives in such way or as a passenger in a car with this driver; annoying as heck and nauseating but maybe that is the only way to remain relatively safe till either a vaccine is produced, tested and permitted for use and/or herd immunity is established.
 
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took about 40 minutes to get into Costco, but once in it was gloriously spacious. Everyone in line was polite and quite tranquil. Instead of standing around looking at their cell, they were just standing around. I'm so glad it was balmy, made the sense of impending doom seem a ridiculous thing to fixate on.
Almost depleted the bank account but we are fully stocked and could survive for at least three months, or it at least feels like that :)

As for daggers, I've fallen in love with the double edge fighter that's on my bench for Eric. Compact and obviously capable of opening large wounds and cutting both ways- in and out. It's dangerous as fuck and has warned me off more than once.
 
Sometimes, I really shouldn’t be reading posts on my phone when I’m half sleep. Case in point, the Lorien post above: I was snoozing when glancing and understanding that Lorien went to a Costco where all Canadians were their usual polite selves, managed to empty his bank account and then cane back home and fell in luv with Eric!

I jumped outta my sweet slumber and I’m now fully awake in shock!
 
Casinostocks said:
Sometimes, I really shouldn’t be reading posts on my phone when I’m half sleep. Case in point, the Lorien post above: I was snoozing when glancing and understanding that Lorien went to a Costco where all Canadians were their usual polite selves, managed to empty his bank account and then cane back home and fell in luv with Eric!

I jumped outta my sweet slumber and I’m now fully awake in shock!
Click to expand...
4GyR4d5.jpg
 
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